If you follow the polls, then today’s releases are pointing in a positive direction for Obama. For the first time we see him leading in three critical states (Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania) which cost the Democrats the election in the last two Presidential runs. That these state polls are from the Quinnipiac organization, whose results have been very conservative throughout the primaries, and giving Rasmussen’s continued Obama lead in the National poll, McCain’s “celebrity” attacks do not seem to have had an effect.
Here are the poll results for July 31:
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Pres ’08
July 31 Rasmussen
Obama (D) 48%, McCain (R) 46%
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FL-Pres
July 31 Quinnipiac
Obama (D) 46%, McCain (R) 44%
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OH-Pres
July 31 Quinnipiac
Obama (D) 46%, McCain (R) 44%
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PA-Pres
July 31 Quinnipiac
Obama (D) 49%, McCain (R) 42%
Let’s remember that McCain said he wasn’t going to go negative, but, of course, he has. And he is forcing Obama to rapidly answer attacks, which makes Obama much tougher, defining McCain as off-base, purveying non-truths, and, frankly, the lower class candidate of the two.