I’m not endorsing the Big Ten Battleground polling outfit. But, what if they’re right?
Illinois: Obama 61%, McCain 32%
Indiana: Obama 51%, McCain 41%
Iowa: Obama 52%, McCain 39%
Ohio: Obama 53%, McCain 41%
Michigan: Obama 58%, McCain 36%
Minnesota: Obama 57%, McCain 38%
Pennsylvania: Obama 52%, McCain 41%
Wisconsin: Obama 53%, McCain 40%
If McCain loses these large states by these margins, the popular vote will be a complete blowout. The numbers look inflated to me, but the way this election is tilting in the last days, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Obama win all these states by comfortable margins. Having said that, these polls are definitely outliers.