Paul Krugman thinks Obama has generated a trust issue with progressives because of the way his administration has handled a number of issues important to us, especially the wishy-washy, back and forth crapola from the White House on on a public option for Health Care reform. And he thinks that it’s a good thing we’re mad as hell and not going to take it anymore:
A backlash in the progressive base — which pushed President Obama over the top in the Democratic primary and played a major role in his general election victory — has been building for months. The fight over the public option involves real policy substance, but it’s also a proxy for broader questions about the president’s priorities and overall approach.
The idea of letting individuals buy insurance from a government-run plan was introduced in 2007 by Jacob Hacker of Yale, was picked up by John Edwards during the Democratic primary, and became part of the original Obama health care plan. […]
On the issue of health care … the inspiring figure progressives thought they had elected comes across, far too often, as a dry technocrat who talks of “bending the curve” but has only recently begun to make the moral case for reform. Mr. Obama’s explanations of his plan have gotten clearer, but he still seems unable to settle on a simple, pithy formula; his speeches and op-eds still read as if they were written by a committee.
Krugman goes on to make the point that a publkic option saves money. Alternatives that have been floated like health care co-ops are in his words “a sham.” He points to the dramatic rise in stock prices for the major health insurers on the day that the “co-op plan” was announced as all the proof you need. After all, aren’t we always being told the market is never wrong? And in this case, it isn’t. Stock analysts might be biased and occasionally incredibly stupid (let’s not rehash the Tech bubble or the bubble in real estate that grossly inflated the value of financial firms now bankrupt or no longer in existence) , but even they can see that health care co-ops are far less of a threat to the profits of health insurance companies than a public option modeled after Medicare would be.
But unfortunately, Obama has made some of his biggest missteps on getting a viable health care bill. He’s alienated the progressive wing of the party, true, but even worse he’s allowed the rump Republican zanies (which are practically all the ones who are left in Congress) to control the message on health care reform. Their constant use of the Big Lie technique such as suggesting Obama will force Americans to accept “rationed health care” from the unfeeling government bureaucrats (utterly false, and ironic considering the “rationing” private insurers already have forced upon most of us with often fatal results), “death panels” that will decide whether old people will live or die (utterly false — again, that’s what the private companies are already doing under the radar) and that health care reform is just the first step by Democrats in establishing a tyrannical Big Brother Police State (a fantastically large lie if there ever was one) has now convinced millions of people, against their better interests to defending the right of insurance companies to screw them over.
Thus, we have witnessed the incredible sight of misguided and misinformed individuals who are supporting the right of major corporations not to have to face competition from a provider (the government) who has already shown it can administer health care (Medicare) cheaper than they can while covering everyone. Unlike health insurance companies, who need to deny coverage when it is most needed (i.e., when you get a life threatening medical condition, or when you have a pre-existing condition) and can cherry pick whom they cover and raise the rates for coverage anytime they want by any amount they want (just ask small business owners who have been priced out of health care coverage for their employees by many companies), Medicare takes all comers.
Yet Obama’s team has constantly botched the message that a public option creates more competition in a free market system. No one would be forced to accept the government plan, but when you’re private insurance company kicks you to the curb to maintain its profit margins, it will be there for you. How someone could screw up such a simple clear message of the benefits of the public option, play silly games with obstructionist Republican politicians over the phony need for bipartisanship, and allow people like Sarah Palin, Michelle Bachman, Rush Limbaugh and Glenn Beck to gin up the hate with their untruths and gross falsehoods is beyond me.
But that isn’t the only problem the Obama administration has with liberals and progressives, as Krugman notes:
(cont.)
Meanwhile, on such fraught questions as torture and indefinite detention, the president has dismayed progressives with his reluctance to challenge or change Bush administration policy.
And then there’s the matter of the banks.
I don’t know if administration officials realize just how much damage they’ve done themselves with their kid-gloves treatment of the financial industry, just how badly the spectacle of government supported institutions paying giant bonuses is playing. But I’ve had many conversations with people who voted for Mr. Obama, yet dismiss the stimulus as a total waste of money. When I press them, it turns out that they’re really angry about the bailouts rather than the stimulus — but that’s a distinction lost on most voters.
So there’s a growing sense among progressives that they have, as my colleague Frank Rich suggests, been punked.
For such a smart politician, he’s taken an awful lot of bad advice from the people who didn’t want him to be President in the first place. Furthermore, by alienating his own base, he’s lost a great deal of the good will and political capital he had when he entered office, without winning over any of the Republican votes he has so dearly sought. Nor has he gained any wave of new support from independents, who now have to wonder what exactly they voted for last year: change or more of the same?
I’ll let Krugman have the last word on Obama’s failures with progressives:
[T]here’s a point at which realism shades over into weakness, and progressives increasingly feel that the administration is on the wrong side of that line. It seems as if there is nothing Republicans can do that will draw an administration rebuke: Senator Charles E. Grassley feeds the death panel smear, warning that reform will “pull the plug on grandma,” and two days later the White House declares that it’s still committed to working with him.
It’s hard to avoid the sense that Mr. Obama has wasted months trying to appease people who can’t be appeased, and who take every concession as a sign that he can be rolled. […]
So progressives are now in revolt. Mr. Obama took their trust for granted, and in the process lost it. And now he needs to win it back.
President Obama has certainly taken gays and lesbians for granted–by doing nothing about “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell.” And by withdrawing his promise to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act.
This is apparently part of an overall pattern of alienating progressives.
Yes he has. To his discredit.
he has also made civil libertarians very angry too, for his expansion of Bush’s state secrecy policies.
i never trusted him though. i voted for him because the Clintons sold everyone out in the 1990s, and the alternative was Grampa and the Crazy Lady.
I never really thought he was a progressive. Lots of us didn’t. But we at least hoped he’d act like a Democrat.
Can’t say I’m surprised about much of any of what he’s done. He did, after all, hire Rahmbo to be his consigliere. That should have been a clear sign of what was to come. But we hoped there was some kind of positive rationale behind that move. Instead we get kabuki on a daily basis.
Chump Change is all we’re getting.
Rahm Emmanuel and the corporate whore Blue Dogs seem to be running the place. “Change we can Believe in” has quickly become the standard Clinton-era fare of “tiny changes that make very little real difference.”
We have an aristocracy problem in this country. Clearly the Obama administration is afraid to take on the real power brokers in this country. The people once again have no real voice in the halls of power, and the government is being run for the exclusive benefit of the most powerful.
I wish there was ANY argument against this, but I’m not seeing much of one.
I disagree with you and Krugman.
You say that “he’s alienated the progressive wing of the party, true, but even worse he’s allowed the rump Republican zanies (which are practically all the ones who are left in Congress) to control the message on health care reform.”
There are a couple of problems with this analysis (which I admit is becoming conventional wisdom). First, I would submit that progressives are mostly angry about his tactics, rather than his long-term goals on health care. And if his tactics, at the end of the day, prevail and we get a public option, all will be forgiven.
Second, I don’t believe that he’s responsible for letting the Republican zanies control the message. In fact, I’m not so sure I agree that they HAVE controlled the message. The media has a natural tendency to focus on those zanies, and the message of the zanies is much simpler and easier to convey.
For the last few months, Obama has let Congress sort out numerous bills and proposals. I believe this was necessary, simply as an exercise to discover where the votes are. We will eventually have conference process. At that stage, Obama should and will exert some real influence. Once a final bill emerges, it will be exponentially easier to control the message.
And that final bill will have very popular measures, like guarantees against losing insurance coverage. At the end of the day, most of the public will focus on such guarantees, and not the type of public option we have.
Bill Clinton reportedly said the other day that, the moment that the final bill passes, Obama’s ratings will immediately jump 5 points. This sounds reaasonable to me. And I expect his ratings will improve across the board, from both “alienated” progressives, independents and even Republicans.
Obama entered office having staffed his administration with people from differing backgrounds: he held over Bush administration folks in some key national security positions; he put an auditor in the CIA; he put Hillary Clinton in as Secretary of State (symbolically almost another ceremonial head-of-state); he gave a pro-rail Republican the Department of Transportation, a Westerner got Interior, a Midwesterner got Agriculture, Energy got a high-profile physicist, and after to-ing and fro-ing DHHS got Kathleen Sibelius who is skilled at playing to Kansas.
In the White House staff, he opted for experience overseen by longtime friends. Unfortunately, the last Democratic administration was the Clinton administration and therefore he almost had to pick former Clinton staffers if he wanted folks who had White House experience. The traumas of that administration have made for some cautious strategies in some areas–notably LGBT issues and healthcare.
The Department of Justice is being hamstrung by the failure of the Senate to confirm his appointments. This acts as a check on what he allows Holder to do. The cries of nine US Senators about not letting Holder have too broad an investigation signal that this might be changing. Meanwhile the pleadings that DOJ staffers are making in high-profile cases are both baffling and worrying and were the first indications that something was not as advertised.
Obama lives in a security bubble, made tighter by more visible threats; this limits the ability for him to get out more. The political effect of threats is to pin him down in the White House or other Presidential places and away from ordinary people. That environment allows Village thinking to take over.
No doubt Obama is aware of these limitations. But the question progressives have is why hasn’t he dealt with it and how long will it continue or is this who he is.
The media doesn’t report it, but increasingly “independents” are to the left of the Democrats, not to the right, not centrist. And a lot of those independents were the “independent” vote that elected Obama last November. They have been the first to fall by the wayside. But now, progressive Democrats are questioning WTF and wanting answers.
The question is whether the White House will wake up to the reality that the politics of the country has jumped leftward since he took office. And that full-throated liberalism is no longer something to avoid.
Maybe when his approval ratings among progressives and democrats fall into the 30% range he will wake up. But, with this FABULOUS (snark alert) crew of advisors he’s got around him, I doubt it.
If we don’t get a decent health care bill, if we don’t get some jobs going in this country, if the economy doesn’t come around and the rethugs put up someone in 2012 that is at least breathing, he will be a one termer.
Health care/health insurance/health anything reform is just good public policy.
But not investigating and bringing to the bar of justice those that aided and abetted rendition/torture/black hole prisons, makes a mockery of the U.S. Constitution.
Shame on a constitutional scholar for allowing that.
I’m going to say it…
this White House thought they were ‘slicker than grease’
as someone wrote to me
the first one is someone you can back down the road on another issue.
the second one better not send me an email or snail mail for SHYT, cause I will be done with them.
I got news for The White House..you mofos ain’t that slick.
We BELIEVE OUR OWN `LYING EYES’
Dennis Kucinich said something profound in his appearance Wednesday on The Ed Show about healthcare and why folks are reacting to the WH being ambivalent on the Public Option. He said that Main Street looked at Healtcare reform as their
BAILOUT.
they had kept their mouths shut, while this White House had bailed out WALL STREET, which kept putting the screws to MAIN STREET, and the WH did little to nothing.
so, MAIN STREET waited for HEALTHCARE.
and THE THOUGHT that Obama would give away the store to Pharma and the Insurance companies, and fucking MAIN STREET OVER AGAIN?
Main Street is tired getting the finger.
What trust problem among progressives? According to Gallup a whopping 95% of liberal Democrats still approve of Obama. But apparently all the other 5% are bloggers and blog commenters.
I don’t remember Bill Clinton getting this kind of hate from his base, and he deserved it more. And somehow I doubt that Krugman would hold Hillary to the same standard. Actually this whole thing makes me wish Hillary had won the primary. The usually suspects would raise hell (some might have even refused to vote for her in November), but at least the Hillary bloggers would defend her.
I’m not sure why you’re cherrypicking one question from a Gallup poll, but the discussion mostly focuses on the trends from the Research 2000 poll and the ABC/WaPo poll from today. Both polls showed double digit dropoffs on several questions.
This isn’t a mirage, and this is no time to pooh-pooh objections from the liberals. This is a problem.
Not to get too snarky, but I vaguely remember during the banking “reform” brouhaha BooMan writing a post explaining why he thought it was so necessary that we strongly support Obama (and stop questioning his handling of the bank bailouts)- because he wasn’t just some elite moneyed limousine liberal, he was “one of us” Progressives that “got it.” Or something like that, I’m obviously paraphrasing and am too lazy to go search through the archives. I find it interesting now that in the middle of the health care fight we all kindasorta remember that Obama played us all in the banking fight as well. All of a sudden there’s no more talk of how much we implicitly trust him, which is exactly Krugman’s point.
Unless he changes course on healthcare quickly, he’s going to end up a bigger disappointment than Clinton. (And I say this as someone who in the primary and the general donated, volunteered, and voted for Obama- bonafides, donchaknow.) At this point, I can no longer tell if Obama is getting horrible advice from Rahm and staff, or if Obama himself has gotten sucked into violating so many of his campaign promises. Regardless, it has to stop or this is going to end badly- for Obama and for Progressives.
So I just checked out Obama’s “Trust” problem:
The number of liberals who are confident that Obama will make the right decision,is 78%.
Liberals who approve of the president’s handling of health care is 70%.
Geez, can you feel the chill? Those numbers are scary low. I mean everyone knows that when engaged in an epic struggle to accomplish something no President has been able to accomplish over the last 70 years you’re supposed to maintain approval ratings of 90%. But maintaining a confidence level that you’ll make the right decision of around 80%? Why, that’s practically free-fall territory.
The thing that is also so condescending and elitist about this “Trust problem” thing, and “disappointment among progressives”, is that “Progressive” seems to have been defined as exclusively white.
Without African-Americans and Hispanics there is no progressive movement in this country. While I don’t have the numbers I’m pretty sure among both those groups the latest polls have Obama around 90%.
So I guess those groups just don’t know any better. Mr. Krugman will have to enlighten them. Maybe when he goes on the TV for his next book tour he can tell all those silly Blacks and Hispanics and working class that “Real Progressives” such as himself and the former theater critic Frank Rich what they’re too stupid to realize.