The big news out of Obama’s speech on the Middle East should probably be his announcements about debt forgiveness and foreign investment. But the headlines are all about his commitment to the 1967 borders as the basis for peace negotiations. Obama should probably get some credit for this:
Mr. Obama’s aides and speechwriters labored on his remarks until the last hours before he delivered it in the stately Benjamin Franklin Dining Room on the eighth floor of the State Department.
Until the end, for example, his aides debated how Mr. Obama would address the conflict that has fueled Arab anger for decades: the division between Israelis and Palestinians. A senior administration official said that Mr. Obama’s advisers remained deeply divided over whether he should formally endorse Israel’s pre-1967 borders as the starting point for negotiations over a Palestinian state.
Here’s what Obama actually said:
So while the core issues of the conflict must be negotiated, the basis of those negotiations is clear: a viable Palestine, and a secure Israel. The United States believes that negotiations should result in two states, with permanent Palestinian borders with Israel, Jordan, and Egypt, and permanent Israeli borders with Palestine. The borders of Israel and Palestine should be based on the 1967 lines with mutually agreed swaps, so that secure and recognized borders are established for both states. The Palestinian people must have the right to govern themselves, and reach their potential, in a sovereign and contiguous state.
The important parts are that the basis of negotiations should be the 1967 lines and that, importantly, Palestine have a “contiguous’ state. That’s code for saying that the Israelis must dismantle some of their most established and populous settlements. Netanyahu, who arrives in Washington on Friday, immediately complained.
Prime Minister Netanyahu expects to hear [when he arrives in the States] a reaffirmation from President Obama of US commitments made to Israel in 2004, which were overwhelmingly supported by both Houses of Congress.
Among other things, those commitments relate to Israel not having to withdraw to the 1967 lines which are both indefensible and which would leave major Israeli population centres in Judea and Samaria beyond those lines.
Prime Minister Netanyahu will make clear that the defence of Israel requires an Israeli military presence along the Jordan River.
Overall, Obama pleased almost no one with his speech, although everyone had something to be happy about, including Israel.
The peace process remains in a stalemate, despite Obama’s rhetoric, but the lasting impact of his speech will probably come from the actual policy announcements. There’s a billion in loan forgiveness to Egypt coupled with a billion in loan guarantees. There’s a commitment to have the G-8 come up with economic stimulus plan for both Egypt and Tunisia. There’s the extension of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development to the economies of new democracies in the Middle East and North Africa. There’s the announcement of a Trade and Investment Partnership Initiative in the Middle East and North Africa to promote trade between the region and the European Union.
What this looks like is an effort at economic development modeled on what we did with Eastern Europe after the fall of the Berlin Wall. For me, there are some perils involved, but this aligns our values and our self-interests in a way never before seen or attempted in the Middle East. It has real potential (over time) to reshape our relationships in a positive way and to actually help grow the economies of many Arab nations.
So, while the stuff about 1967-borders will get all the attention and probably lead nowhere, there was some important news in his speech, and a reason to be hopeful.
Well I said some time ago that Obama would not mention the word “Palestinian” in his speech, and he did. So I get to eat my hat.
But the words I heard were the same words we heard from George Bush at the Annapolis Conference, 2007. Not a wit of difference. It made me wonder if Dennis Ross had written that speech too. Look for yourselves.
http://www.cfr.org/israel/president-bushs-speech-annapolis-november-2007/p14882
Obama did not back away from the pro-Israeli position concerning settlements, face-to-face negotiations, UN support for recognition of a Palestinian state (more Rice apologetics), repeat of Israeli old propaganda re. right to exist, Palestinian terrorism, delegitimization, and obvious appeasement of Netanyahu and AIPAC, which gets the next speech.
On this Israeli-Palestinian aspect of Obama’s speech, in my opinion it was a failure. Obama is still Netanyahu’s poodle (Booman) and will likely remain in that position beyond 2012, at least for a while, and as always, too late.
PS: “the defence of Israel requires an Israeli military presence along the Jordan River.”
This is a cute way of saying what Netanyahu said last year that the Jordan Valley is Israel’s, and for the same preposterous reason, security. Barak, the Defense Minister, repeated the same thing less than a week ago.
This is an Apartheid setup, a Palestine surrounded by Israeli settlements, the wall, IDF checkpoints, and restriction of movement. Another way to describe this configuration is Greater Israel, with some enclaves of foreigners, Arabs who call themselves Palestinians inside. Is anyone really fooled?
Just went right over your head that you were wrong about what he would say didn’t it?
Look for yourselves.
I looked, and I didn’t see anything about the 1967 borders and mutually-agreed land swaps.
Yes, they both said a lot of the same boilerplate. That’s not really the point.
I think you’re just noting that Obama didn’t stake out a position outside of the mainstream, and ignoring what he actually did in this speech.
You are right in your assertion. My thoughts were on the Bush visit to the West Bank in 2008 (after the Annapolis Conference which went nowhere), reported by MSNBC:
Bush calls for end of `occupation’ of Arab lands
The idea of using the 67 Green Line deviated through land swaps as a border is there. Just as Obama did, Bush sidestepped the issues of Jerusalem and refugees.
Near as I can tell there doesn’t seem to be much reaction to the speech one way or another. I thought Obama’s straight-out advocacy of the ’67 borders as a necessary goal was pretty much unprecedented for a US president, but maybe my memory is faulty.
For the rest of it to be effective, I think he would have had to recognize the US role in stomping down ME democracy in the recent past. If the Muslim Brotherhood or somebody comes out on top in Egypt and/or Tunisia, will they still get those big bucks even if they don’t threaten free speech or democracy? I doubt that most of the Arab world believe it. The speech struck me, except for the 67 borders part, as aimed more at US voters than the ME, and in that context it may have worked.
Your memory is faulty.
Every president since 1967 (Johnson) has respected the Green Line as the border of Israel and denied the legitimacy of settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem afterward.
Here’s review:
http://my.firedoglake.com/edwardteller/2011/05/19/more-lies-from-palin-and-gop-hacks-on-obamas-refer
ence-to-the-67-borders/
Obama’s position is nothing new.
What was the point of it, really? It seems to me to be representative of the sort of unspoken intellectual laziness of the Obama administration that crops up from time to time where they believe in this sort of weird policymaking alchemy.
But this strategy is completely out of sorts with the Arab Spring because you can’t really wait to give one speech every now and then and expect to remain credible. Upping the rhetoric on Bahrain? Well yeah, it’s about time, isn’t it? Sanctioning Syria? Well yeah, shootings have been going on for weeks now, have they not? Formally endorsing the informal established position on Israel-Palestine border negotiations? It’s 2011. Begrudgingly accepting Islamists right to campaign and even get democratically elected? Yep, they were out on those streets catching bullets and holding the square too, I’m afraid. No getting around it.
Arab people want a West that is in the moment and responsive, not one that waits back to synthesize the entire region into one tidy package for rhetorical consumption. They don’t want to hear how this is really still about Israel, if you think about it.
SoS Clinton could’ve simply given a briefing on the North Africa economic development plan, without the extra baggage, and nothing would have been lost.
Then why are these people squealing like stuck pigs?
Because they’re Republicans.
…Are you really relying on the deep foreign policy expertise of Mitt Romney and Allen West to make your point, Booman? Really?
It isn’t foreign policy that Romney and West are experts in, but wingnut doctrine about Israel.
So, yes, their little freakout is meaningful. It demonstrates that Obama crossed their lines.
“There are more thing in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy,” and there more things to take note of in Obama’s speech than whether he went far enough to satisfy you.
They’re squealing like stuck pigs because Obama’s lips moved. What came out, from their standpoint, is nearly irrelevant to how they will react.
I haven’t heard anything from the departing Mitchell. And I’d still like to see Nancy Soderberg step into some kind of a role in all this.
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Nope, Bush never mentioned a returm to the 1967 borders by Israel or the (il)legality of occupation of Palestinian land. On the contrary, Bush in his famous letter gave away swaps of Palestinian land near Jerusalem to PM Ariel Sharon in an agreement to ending settlements in the Gaza strip and relocating to Samaria.
"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
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"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
Good speech. They’re squeezing Israel very hard. Harder, probably, than the US ever has. More important than endorsing the ’67 borders is Obama’s continued endorsement of non-violence. If the Palestinians continue to use this tactic (as they did on Nakba day a week ago), it will eventually invalidate the Israeli government in the eyes of the world. If the government of Syria falls, another rationalization of Israel’s military insanity falls, and Obama gets another feather in his cap. Obama called out Assad very hard in the speech. Things are getting pretty serious, and Obama is playing hardball.
The debt forgiveness/guarantee bit cracks me up. What typical loan shark BS from the Bretton-Woods boys. Sure, we’ll forgive you that debt, but here, have another. What is never said is that Egypt would have real problems if they tried to turn that money down. The only choice is financial servitude, and don’t ever believe otherwise.
Who held up $10B in loan guarantees to Israel as a means to get them to stop expanding settlements.
He was the president who came closest to playing true hard ball with Israel
Netanyahu’s continued disrespect toward Obama and Biden is paying dividends to the Palestinians. Don’t piss off the president as he is a patient man and you will get trumped. I never dreamed that Obama would say go back to the 1967 borders. A brave stand as he is going to take incredible heat from the AIPAC crowd. Good show Obama!
Last week TarheelDem made a comment that really caught my interest, so much so that I just went back to find it so I could copy it here rather than try to summarize it.
Now that we’ve heard the speech, I would love to hear how TarheelDem thinks Obama’s speech fell, relative to his comment:
“Something is going on between the US and Bibi Netanyahu. Obama is either going to capitulate to Netanyahu or lower the hammer on him with regard to US aid. Netanyahu is scared that the Hamas and Fatah reconciliation might not be subject to sabotage this time.
If the UN formally recognizes the 1967 borders of Palestine, there are a large number of Israelis about to be asked to pay taxes to Palestine.
Politically, Israel cannot get in front of events because in the Israeli political landscape Netanyahu is now a centrist.
What it will take is for the Israeli government to be told “No” for the first time in 63 years. If Israel want aid, it can go to China and cut out the middleman. Deficits and all that, you know. “
Yes, quite.
I would say it’s the hammer. President Obama talked down the UN this fall, but calling for 1967 now means that if the UN goes there too then Israel has no one supporting their right to settlements. Not that they will stop.
The most important line in that comment is, “Politically, Israel cannot get in front of events because in the Israeli political landscape Netanyahu is now a centrist.” The challenge that Israel faces is that they have gone completely around the bend in love with militant nationalism. They will have a hard time changing. The fact that everybody disagrees with them on an issue probably plays right into their identity myth.