That’s Mayor Bloomberg of New York City talking, and if he’s talking I can only assume that his friends on Wall Street have asked him to go public:
WASHINGTON -(Dow Jones)- New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg Tuesday said political leaders in Washington shouldn’t tie an increase in the federal debt ceiling to a broader budget deal, warning that there could be “catastrophic” consequences if Congress misses an Aug. 2 deadline.
“America’s good name and credit are just too important to be held hostage to Washington gridlock,” Bloomberg said in a statement.
Bloomberg went on to say that the economy of New York City would be damaged by a failure to raise the federal debt ceiling, which is an understatement.
Why is the pressure from the financial industry on Congress and the President to raise the debt ceiling being ratcheted up now? Why are we hearing the sounds of panic from the head of the US Chamber of Commerce and Mayor Bloomberg. Supposedly we have until August 2, 2012 before we reach the ability fund the government. I suggest that the answer to that question doesn’t just relate to the inability of John “It’s not my problem” Boehner” to make a deal that his caucus will support:
“Where’s the President’s plan?” asked House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) at a press stakeout after a GOP caucus meeting. “When’s he going to lay his cards on the table? This debt limit increase is his problem.”
He and other caucus leaders answered President Obama’s demand that the GOP figure out a way to raise the debt limit through 2012 by offering to toss non-starter Republican wish-list items back into the negotiating mix.
“Real controls like a Balanced Budget Amendment,” Boehner suggested, referring to a Republican-authored Constitutional ban on incurring budget deficits that would make raising taxes functionally impossible, and thus require filleting entitlement programs.
No, the reason the Street is getting more than anxious at the current state of affairs, and why Tom Donahue and Mayor Bloomberg are speaking out publicly probably has more to do with this deadline imposed by Moody’s warning issued earlier this month regarding the US debt:
<blockquoteMoody’s Investors Service said it will put the U.S. government’s Aaa credit rating under review for a downgrade unless there’s progress on increasing the debt limit by mid-July.
“The heightened polarization over the debt limit has increased the odds of a short-lived default,” New York-based Moody’s said in a statement today. “If this situation remains unchanged in coming weeks, Moody’s will place the rating under review.”
It’s 3 days from July 15th, which by my account is mid-July. No progress is being made that we know of, and Boehner is already looking like a rat that has chosen to abandon ship rather than the Speaker of the House, the second most powerful political figure in America.
If Moody’s downgrades the US credit rating on its debt as they said they would back on July 2nd, or even announces that they have taken the issue under review, I figure we are days away, not weeks, from a collapse of the stock markets, and the subsequent movement of capital into commodities like oil, gold, etc. or into other currencies other than the US dollar. Time to avoid a financial meltdown of unknown proportions is rapidly running out. Even the IMF Chief is running around with her hair on fire:
Christine Lagarde, the first woman to head the lending institution, said in an interview broadcast Sunday that it would cause interest rates to rise and stock markets to fall. That would threaten an important IMF goal, which is preserving stability in the world economy, she said. […]
“If you draw out the entire scenario of default, yes, of course, you have all of that — interest hikes, stock markets taking a huge hit and real nasty consequences, not just for the United States, but for the entire global economy, because the U.S. is such a big player and matters so much for other countries,” she said.
Really “nasty consequences.” That’s the IMF chief’s words, not mine. Still, I agree with her. I sure hope we are both wrong.
So it looks like Bloomberg, as spokeswhore for the banksters and allied crooks, is going for a clean debt ceiling bill. There are only two things in the way of accomplishing that: failure by Dems to introduce the bill, or the Rep “leaders” finding the guts to stand up to their financial enablers.
I know we’re facing great peril, but can’t help reveling in the spectacle of GOP Stupid finally, at long last, coming back to bite them. They really have no good exit unless the Dems do a total cave, which I think they won’t dare do this time. The question becomes, will the GOP, faced with a no-win outcome, opt for a suicide bombing? I strongly doubt it, but with these crazies you never know for sure.
It’s fifty-fifty in my book, but the odds of letting the whole thing blow up increase by the day imo.
This is what I am seeing as well, the Dem’s have a much stronger position right now (politically and in terms of being able to deliver the votes needed in both the Senate and House). However, since such a huge chunk of the GOP House is willing to blow up the US economy this is still a risky game as it requires Boehner to actually lead and round up votes instead of keep caving in hopes of retaining the Speaker seat.
The level of cynicism within the GOP is something I can’t really gauge, if there are even really GOP House members who believe in actually governing as opposed to making ideological and useless votes.
Yeah, I think it is far past time for the Senate to pass a clean bill if there can be any way to gain assurance that it won’t be made a Christmas Tree in the house.
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"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."
Look what happened to the price of ProShares Trust Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury EFT when it was revealed on June 30th that Eric Cantor was holding $15,000 worth.
Everyone raced out to buy it and now the price is lower. Hah hah.
Moody’s and S&P failed their due diligence on credit default swaps, which created this mess.
This is pure Wall Street extortion to make Obama fold on his bottom line to keep this crap out of the process until after the 2012 elections.
So interest rates will rise from zero and stock markets will fall (from a bubble). Wall Street can use some of that cash they’ve been sitting on.
Just let them pull that trigger. The Chamber of Commerce’s Donahue’s presence in this bunch makes me think it’s a gambit to strengthen the Republican’s position, which is weakening as ordinary people begin to learn what’s on the table. Reportedly, Obama said that if Aug 2 comes without a deal, he cannot guarantee that Social Security checks will go out.
We’re back into aggression noise phase, which means that the negotiations pretty much are dead (as Eric Cantor wanted them) and Obama has not blinked yet.
I’m sure that Mme. Lagarde would like to add the United States to the list of countries that are “defaulting”. Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy, …who’s next. Shall we take down China next? India? Gee…why not have a real global depression?
Dear Moody’s: The United States of America will not default. Period. So put a sock in it.
It’s a measure of how far the US has fallen that a known criminal organization is still given credibility and weight on any opinion whatever, much less the US government’s future. Moody’s and the other ratings agencies committed outright, undeniable fraud for profit, yet instead of being in the slammer they’re treated as if their word has some kind of value.
How far back in history do we have to go to find exact parallels? Caligula? The Borgias? Or just the Great Depression and Reagan’s S&L scam? We’ll recover somehow from the economic crash(es). The societal/political putrefaction is a much more ominous question mark.
I’m not so sanguine about that, but then I am a pessimist when it comes to politics.
As it turns out, the European Union financial ministers are in talks with the private holders of Greek debt to determine how big a haircut the banks are going to take. And as part of that meeting they issued a statement to ratings services that is the equivalent of my “stick a sock in it” comment.
Interest rates on Italian debt might rise to 6%. Big whoop. Over the short term in the midst of a recession that is not an unusual number. In fact if my memory serves me right, one of Robert Rubin’s first efforts in Clinton’s Treasury Department was to restructure interest rates US debt from 10% to 6%. The interest rate on US debt is currently at 3% on a fed funds rate of almost 0%. And that’s with $14 trillion debt on the books.
Obama also mentioned today that SS checks may possibly not go out if a deal isn’t reached. That oughta rile up a few folks. Everone is beginning to get freaked out now. Haven’t we had a whole year do get this done???
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"But I will not let myself be reduced to silence."