Charles R. Pierce – whose ability to combine thoughtfulness and snark has made him one of my more favorite political writers in legacy media the last couple of years – has a post surveying a few of the nuttier Republican-proposed laws now in play at various state legislatures. He makes a useful point:
What you’re seeing in the state legislatures is the activity of the Republican farm team. The people voting for laws springing from the mushy brains of people like Bob Marshall and Lori Klein are the young Republicans who, a few cycles from now, will be running for Congress, probably from safe Republican districts that they’ve helped draw up, and aided immeasurably by voter-suppression laws that they’ve helped pass. Most of them will be the products of the vast conservative candidate manufacturing base — the kids at CPAC, the College Republicans, the various Christianist organizations. They will not equivocate. They will not moderate. And they are the future of the party. Anyone who thinks the Republican party eventually again will have to “move to the middle” (this translates from the Punditese to “regain its sanity”) isn’t paying attention.
In 2006, the Republicans were handed a defeat every bit as epic as any one ever handed to the Democrats. They did not pause to give it a second thought. Their resolve hardened. They ran what few “moderates” were left right out of the party. And, in 2010, they got a wave election that not only gained them the House of Representatives, but also the legislative majorities in the states that are now producing these goofy-ass laws, and a lot more seriously dangerous ones as well. And, even then, they blew a chance to retake the Senate by running sideshow freaks like Sharron Angle and Christine O’Donnell. They didn’t care.
They do not stop, even when they’re losing. The country told them, through the 1998 midterms, that it didn’t want Bill Clinton impeached. Bill Clinton got impeached. In 2005, everybody including their Democratic colleagues told them that they were going off the cliff in their meddling in the life and death of Terri Schiavo. There were gobs of polling data to back them up. The Republicans kept meddling even after Ms. Schiavo passed….The current [presidential primary] frontrunner is a nutball ultramontane Catholic who lost his last race by 18 points, at least in part because he was one of the more noxious of the Schiavo meddlers.
The fact is that the presidency is not really that important to them. They have found a way to make it impossible for any Democratic president to govern as a Democrat. Their real goal is in the legislatures, federal and state, where they have been able to exercise their power on the issues they care about. They will not change themselves.
I think there’s a lot of truth to this. (I would add that through the legislatures, they’re also a long way along in their project to reshape our state and federal judiciaries in their image.) And I have not seen, among progressives, anywhere near the commitment to developing a bench of future candidates for higher office, or the political and media infrastructure to support and market them, that you see among the Christianists and Tea Partiers. Some of them are savvy enough to tack to the middle long enough to win elections; most don’t bother. But they all have an agenda that is a clear and present danger to what we think of as a representative democracy – not to mention a functional economy, a nation of non-theocratic laws, and a biologically habitable planet.
The most encouraging development so far in the Republican primary circus is the developing schism between the one percenters, who want to use the Tea Party movement to remove all limits on their efforts to steal what wealth they haven’t already stolen from the rest of us, and the true believers of Wingnuttia who are rejecting Mitt Romney like a bad organ transplant. Romney’s transparently awful attempts at pandering to the Republican base have done more than any Occupy sermon to remind the base that the GOP’s political and economic elites think they’re idiots and chumps (a not unreasonable conclusion, but with Romney they overreached) – and that the oligarchs who take control of the GOP for granted really don’t share their concerns or priorities. With luck and intent, that schism can be widened if deep corporate pockets suddenly come to the conclusion that setting up their Frankenstein For America SuperPACs maybe isn’t such a great idea.
That said, Pierce is right, and any number of Democratic (and not a few moderate Republican) commentators are wrong when they idly muse that a blowout loss by Santorum or Gingrich might be just what the Republicans need in order for them to pull back from the far side of sanity. No such luck. The wingnuts are not going away, no matter how badly they lose this November, and they will continue to be a menace to our future for the foreseeable future even as a disproportionately vocal and influential minority. The current example of this is the contraception “debate” – a deliberately staged insta-controversy in which a very small minority of reactionary bishops, legislators, and media figures took a public policy considered completely uncontroversial by most Americans, including most Republicans, and made the “debate” over it mainstream. Sure, Obama kicked them in the teeth over it, but now most of us “know” that contraceptive use is “controversial.” Mission accomplished. State-level bills will probably start showing up next year.
Pierce’s conclusion is also important:
The president should not be talking about “Congress” and “Washington,” and expect the country to clue in that he’s nudging and winking in code about the Republicans. He should make it clear that one of our two major political parties is now an extremist party from its lowest levels to its highest echelons. This should be an issue in the campaign as important as income inequality or campaign finance, but it won’t be. Barack Obama’s just not built that way. And, out in the states, things are getting crazier by the day.
Obama won’t say it, and neither will corporate media, but others – from high elected officials down to lowly progressive bloggers – need to, over and over and over. One of our country’s two major political parties is being hijacked by a noisy minority of people who have gone seriously gone off the rails. They are a menace. And it may be a long time, if ever, before they let up.
Mr. Parrish, if what you write in this post is true, then it’s not clear to me what’s going to prevent a generation or two of massive Democratic electoral dominance at the national level, and in many states. If Republicans are truly in the process of ceding the center – as they seem to be – then it’s game over. Period. No amount of Koch-fueled Super PAC monies will be enough to convince a majority of the electorate (outside of safely Red districts) to vote for politicians who support restrictions on the availability of contraception and the destruction of Medicare. And even the ridiculous gerrymandering and awful Voter ID laws will not be allow the GOP to steal enough seats to cement their ideas into law (again outside of the redder states, I’m sorry to say). Not as the general population becomes more progressive and minority-based in the coming years.
I realize many progressives are still in an automatic defensive crouch on many (most?) issues due to the latent electoral PTSD from the past 30 years. All those years of Republican dominance made it seem like the American people will swallow any amount of BS, as long as you feed to them slowly. But that’s an illusion. The country seems at this point to have hit an ideological wall, where it, or we, will not accept being pulled any further to the right. That the Democrats appear to be on track now to retake the House and return Barack Obama to office in 2013 are clear evidence of that. You really can’t fool all the people all the time.
The Republicans have not made it impossible “for any Democratic president to govern like a Democrat”, whatever Charles Pierce means by that. The current President sure seems to be governing as a Democrat. I’m pretty sure he’s amassed the most progressive set of accomplishments since LBJ. And if it took the Democratic party a supermajority in Congress in order to achieve all that… well, the frenzy on the right is preparing the ground for us to regain that supermajority once again.
What you have described above is not a plausible future hard-right takeover of all levels of American government. Rather, it is a roadmap to permanent minority status for the GOP.
If Republicans really do not stop, even when they’re losing, then they will lose. Again, and again, and again, and again. And we will win.
If the wingnut base does in fact come to dominate the Republican party, then yes, I agree that they’re setting themselves up to often be the minority party for many years to come. But not always. 2010 showed how it happens. All you need is a crappy economy, in which the instinct of low-information voters is to throw out the ruling party, and an awful lot of people just aren’t aware of how insane the alternative is. And while they’re the minority they can still do a lot (as we’ve seen the last three years) to obstruct problem-solving, which sets up the condition in which they’re most likely to get greater power.
The legitimacy their radical views get by being the major institutional alternative to the status quo also tilts the political dialogue in ways that redefine norms, make insane ideas sound plausible, and make true progressive reform much harder. We’ve been watching versions of that arc for 30 years now.
And if they do get more power, even briefly, the damage they could inflict boggles the mind. If the economy were lagging a little more and the R’s had an even marginally plausible alternative to Obama, one could easily see how Republicans could control all three branches of government in 2013. As Booman (among many others) keeps noting, that possibility, which is still not out of the question, should scare the crap out of anyone.
What 2010 showed is that lots of money and blatant lies (“Healthcare reform cuts Medicare”) can swing a lot of folks who rely only on the Wall Street Media for political information.
And that churches can turn out more voters than labor unions even when they are the same voters. There are still a lot of union members who will vote Republican on “values” issues.
This:
And to the extent the President fails to make this distinction, he keeps feeding the narrative “both sides are equally to blame” that’s killing us with the swing voters. But, he’s right. It’s just not in this President.
This isn’t necessarily the President’s job. There’s a perfect guy in the perfect place to make this argument, forcefully and repeatedly, and even in over-the-top ways, if that’s the only way to get them a hearing: Biden.
Why he’s not used as a rabid attack dog is beyond me. If Obama doesn’t want his hands dirty, he can always shakes his head sadly and say, “Well, Joe’s gone off the reservation again,” and then send him out to do exactly the same thing again.
I’d like to see more from Biden too. I realize he’s out there working the campaign trail lately, but the rest of the last 3 years is pretty hard to explain. Maybe it’s just a lack of media coverage, maybe it’s just the comparison to the unprecedented power that Cheney wielded, but for the most part it seems like Joe’s been invisible since BFD.
Unfortunately, both sides (although not in equal measure) are to blame. The Democrats in Congress are as up to their earlobes in lobbyist money as the Republicans — and even some of the same industries.
Also unfortunately, the President is not in a good situation as President to make the case about extremism; he painted himself into that corner by being bipartisan; he cannot now be shrill. But Joe Biden can. And some other Democratic politicians can. And Democratic candidates for the legislature and Congress and other offices better start making that case. The Democratic Party, if it is a real party, is not just the President as party leader.
I have a solution, but it’s Stalinesque.
I hate these people like poison.
Red State Michigan has been taken over by a group of wingers who seem to think the we should create a governmental system akin to what was in place/not in place 200 years ago. If government didn’t do it then, it is viewed as a radical leftist concept. I’m thinking about being the first in line for a new “Surry with the fringe on top”. As our roads continue to disintergrate, horse and buggy may become the preferred means of personal transport.
In other words, they’re American Wahhabis.
Progressive tunnel-vision on the federal level and the Presidency has dug us into a huge political hole. The obsessive way progressive Democratic blogs are covering the Presidential race (especially the fight in the clown car) is not helpful.
Thanks for this dose of sanity. You win the Presidency and the Congress by winning the legislatures and riding those grassroots coattails. Progressives aren’t even in the game in most states when it comes to legislative candidates.
Sadly, it’s too late to fix this issue this year, but it is time to quickly gear up for 2014 by putting the campaign infrastructure into place. And it is also time to start doing some serious thinking about 2016.
The lead time for ginning up strong campaigns is that long.
The obsessive way progressive Democratic blogs are covering the Presidential race (especially the fight in the clown car) is not helpful.
Who is the Democratic candidate to replace that worthless POS named Kent Conrad? You know what Progressives really need to do? Occupy the DCCC and DSCC. Why? Just look who is running against nutcase Allen West. A former GOPer!! DWS is not your friend!! Neither is Chuck Schumer!!
There are people in North Dakota who could run as Democrats as long as they didn’t have to fight the money war. Byron Dorgan could come out of retirement for example.
DNC candidate recruitment in tough areas sucks and has for the past generation.
Occupy has been occupying the DCCC and DSCC and DNC. And have gotten arrested for their trouble.
Depending on the national leadership to anoint candidates is a stupid way to get local representation. Of course Wasserman-Schultz is the same sort of problem that Tim Kaine was. And Chuck “Mr. Wall Street” Schumer is not going to screw his donors.
So focus on some of the remaining “hopeless” races for which filing is still possible. At this point, not being owned by corporations or ideological nut cases is more important than any progressive litmus test.
And build a farm team in city councils, county commissions, state legislatures, and councils of state.