With about half the vote counted in Michigan it is still technically too close to call, but I’m going to predict that Romney pulls it out. I see Nate Silver is hedging a bit, but I think he knows already that Romney did well enough in his strongholds in the Detroit suburbs and held up well enough in Grand Rapids to carry himself over the finish line with a five or six percentage points margin. I think the delegates will be split quite evenly, with Santorum potentially winning more congressional districts. Romney appears to have saved himself from an immediate crisis, but I predict his campaign will reach a critical state one week from today when it becomes clear that he cannot win the nomination anytime soon, nor can he win in the South or anywhere (other than Michigan) in the Midwest.
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