As Philip Klein notes, the most obvious result of Dick Lugar’s primary loss last night is that it will produce a state of absolute fear among Republicans in Congress who might cross the aisle to compromise on anything, ever.
[Richard] Mourdock’s victory not only means that this particular Senate seat is likely to be more conservative (assuming he goes on to win the general election in this traditionally red state), but it also puts Republican Senators everywhere on notice that no seat is safe anywhere in the country. Any elected Republican that doesn’t pursue a small government agenda once in office risks suffering the same fate as Lugar. Had Lugar hung on, then a lot of people would have dismissed the Tea Party as a passing fad from 2010. But now it’s clear that the movement has been underestimated once again. Tea Partiers have a lot more staying power than skeptics expected.
In other words, it’s a recipe for more abuse of the Senate rules, more filibusters, more hostage-taking, more government shut-downs, more stonewalled political and judicial nominees, and more defaults or near-defaults on our sovereign debt. In other words, for Mr. Klein, it’s a positive development. He goes on to suggest that the only way to prevent the “ideologically malleable Mitt Romney” from lurching left in office is to put more implacable Tea Partiers into the World’s Greatest Deliberative Body.
Dick Lugar is the GOP’s longest-tenured senator and he knows his way around the upper chamber. In his concession speech last night, he had some advice for the victor:
If Mr. Mourdock is elected, I want him to be a good Senator. But that will require him to revise his stated goal of bringing more partisanship to Washington. He and I share many positions, but his embrace of an unrelenting partisan mindset is irreconcilable with my philosophy of governance and my experience of what brings results for Hoosiers in the Senate. In effect, what he has promised in this campaign is reflexive votes for a rejectionist orthodoxy and rigid opposition to the actions and proposals of the other party. His answer to the inevitable roadblocks he will encounter in Congress is merely to campaign for more Republicans who embrace the same partisan outlook. He has pledged his support to groups whose prime mission is to cleanse the Republican party of those who stray from orthodoxy as they see it.
This is not conducive to problem solving and governance. And he will find that unless he modifies his approach, he will achieve little as a legislator. Worse, he will help delay solutions that are totally beyond the capacity of partisan majorities to achieve. The most consequential of these is stabilizing and reversing the Federal debt in an era when millions of baby boomers are retiring. There is little likelihood that either party will be able to impose their favored budget solutions on the other without some degree of compromise.
You can sum up the difference between Lugar and Mourdock this way: Lugar was interested in being an effective legislator; Mourdock is interested in advancing a movement. Being an effective legislator requires crafting compromises and building cross-party coalitions to address pressing problems facing the country. However, if your goal is to shrink the federal government down to a size where it can be strangled and drowned in a bathtub, then no compromise is necessary or desirable.
Dick Lugar focused on foreign policy, national security, and nuclear non-proliferation. His accomplishments in these fields were possible because he worked with Democrats like Sam Nunn and Barack Obama. His defeat creates a serious risk that our foreign policies will become hopelessly politicized in the Senate. Next year, John Kerry may very well replace Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State. Based on seniority, that would place control of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in the hands of Barbara Boxer of California and Bob Corker of Tennessee. Sen. Boxer has so far struggled to work with Republicans on the Environmental & Public Works Committee, which she chairs. For all her virtues, she is no Teddy Kennedy. Sen. Corker has shown some small signs, here and there, that he was being mentored by Sen. Lugar. He has an opportunity to follow in his footsteps a bit, at least in how the Foreign Relations Committee conducts its business, which has always been much more cordially than other committees in Congress. But Sen. Corker is no Dick Lugar. Would he or could he have ushered the New START Treay through the Senate? Working with Boxer? I don’t think so. The fear induced by Lugar’s defeat makes it even more unlikely.
I’m normally somewhere between bored and disgusted by the hagiographies Beltway reporters write about fallen centrists. I could write a long diatribe about all the ways Dick Lugar has failed this country and been deeply and catastrophically wrong in his votes. It’s not that he was a saint or that our fates were safe in his hands. But his defeat is an almost unmitigatedly bad thing for our country. The only way it can be made partially good is by the Democrat, Rep. Joe Donnelly, winning the seat and helping to keep the U.S. Senate in Harry Reid’s control. On some issues, a Senator Donnelly might make us long for Evan Bayh, but at least he will add to rather than detract from the functionality of the Senate.
Read more:
I still say I think Democrats need to think like this, because I think it is the only hope to resist the Republicans.
Here’s an interesting candidate out of Bloomington.
Yep, intelligent, personable and very high energy. I’ll be helping her in my county.
They want tyranny by the minority, and when in majority, tyranny of the majority. Priceless. Democracy be damned.
I don’t know why people thought he had a chance. If Utah had a straight primary election, Orrin Hatch would be next. He still might be primaried, and then we’ll have another Mike Lee. But he might be able to convince the leaders not to let him go.
At least Mourdock’s honest: bipartisanship to him means, “Do what we want.”
I basically fail to see how this has not been republican operating policy since 1994. He just said what almost all of them think.
Exactly. Very Serious People can’t get themselves to admit that their glorious Republicans are insane and have been since I was a little boy. I like when they say what they’re all thinking.
My first real concrete political memory is of the 1994 congressional elections. I was sitting on the bed with my parents after getting out of the tub and I could not understand why the “good guys” were losing everything.
Lugar was defeated for the wrong reasons by the wrong person. And there was no challenge against him by anyone other than an extremist. Those centrist R’s may still exist, but they have stayed in their quiet rooms too long and again we see that if this season brings in more Rep’s to Congress it will make this term look like a cake walk.
Now Lugar can write one of those brutally honest missives about how the GOP has gone off the rails and is doomed.
yaaaaaaaaawn
Set aside for a moment the extremist policies of the Republicans. Take a close look at their tactics and methods because THAT is where they’ve taken extreme measures that even Republicans like Lugar should be condemning. Lugar aludes to this but falls far short of being fully honest about it.
Republicans used a perfunctory vote on the debt ceiling, one for which the posturing was usually mutually agreed to kabuki, as a hostage during the economic crisis of our times to push extreme ideological positions. One of those positions pushed just two weeks before the deadline set by the Treasury included a Constitutional amendment.
The debt ceiling vote never had major legislation attached before – ever.
McConnell has promised that this is their new SOP, their template. The next time they’ll pull this will be in 2013.
If by any chance Europe should show improved economic health by late 2013, this is going to catch up with us. The main reason US interest stayed down despite the S&P downgrade was because of the “flight to quality” prompted by the lingering troubles in Euroland.
My current read addresses a concern to this kind of voting behavior. Granted, there are a lot of TP kooks that want uncompromising extremist politicians. But there are some poorly informed sods who want Congress to get some things done but just get swept along with the “kick the bastards” out sentiment and have no idea what they’re doing.
It’s Even Worse Than it Looks, Mann and Ornstein
http://www.amazon.com/Even-Worse-Than-Looks-Constitutional/dp/0465031331/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=
1336573435&sr=8-1
Um, not really.
Many of the repugs in congress have already signed Norquist’s idiotic, teabaggy “anti-tax pledge”. There’s not been much compromise and real governance going on since Obama got elected. It’s more about the extremist bent of the GOP, and the fact the “democratic” party appears powerless to deal with it effectively.
Second, once you get in the House of Lords (senate) it tends to be a long time gig. At the least, it’s a six year term. Political memories are short, so unless you really screw up, you’re likely to get re-elected, over and over again- just as Lugar did. Our system is unfortunatetly set up to encourage this.
Regarding the dems holding on to their majority in the senate- doesn’t look good. Indiana is a red state. The amount of money pouring into Indiana to get Mourdock elected will be staggering.
Unless some serious dirt on this guy comes forth, I don’t see how he can lose.
How many times do we have to win Indiana before it is no longer a red state. I’d think winning it once would at least turn it purple.
Huh? I’m not sure what you mean by “winning Indiana”?
That tells you just how red Indiana is- even in 1992 and 1996 when ALL of the midwestern states surrounding Indiana supported Clinton/dems, Indiana did not.
And going back to the early 1950’s, Indiana has had six republican governors, five democratic, so– no scoreboard there, either.
http://www.270towin.com/states/Indiana
On some issues, a Senator Donnelly might make us long for Evan Bayh, but at least he will add to rather than detract from the functionality of the Senate.
So we’ll have another Joe Mancin in the Senate if we are lucky?
I don’t think he’ll be that conservative. Probably somewhere between, say, Bob Casey and Mark Pryor.
Mourdock is right and Dick Lugar is wrong.
Republican intransigence and borderline treason is rational. The GOP base is a bunch of paranoid racists and bigots having an existential crisis, but the people behind the scenes see what’s coming plainly.
Taxes and new debt. And then more taxes and more printing and more taxes and more printing and then more taxes on top of that. And then, when that doesn’t work, and the percentage of people in the workforce is at its lowest at the exact moment when federal expenditures and liabilities to previous working generations are at their highest, confiscation and price controls will return. It won’t be called confiscation or price controls, but twenty-first century America will tend towards central planning and European style taxation. It already is.
The GOP will lose, and lose hard, unless they break the government’s back preemptively. The corporatists did this to them-fucking-selves. Their complete indifference to government deficits and waste under Reagan and Dubya in the name of corporate welfare and greedy tax cuts are what’s led us to this place. It’s all their fault. But rather than apologize and find some way to recompense the nation for their ill-gotten gains and malicious behavior, they’re trying to do whatever they can to avoid paying the piper. Getting people elected to government who don’t believe in government is their one and only goal. Full stop.
Booman, don’t you think Lugar’s age had anything to do with his defeat?
I predict again that the R’s will take the Senate and retain the House. The R’s got a blow here in Illinois with redistricting but the D candidates seem to be sitting pat expecting demographics to elect them. The odious Joe Walsh is a case in point. He is campaigning hard, filling mailboxes and e-mail boxes with literature while Tammy Duckworth seems to be on vacation on Mars or something just as she did in her losing campaign for the open seat in IL-6 previously. Also, sitting Congressmen have important powers. One voter told me recently he didn’t agree with Walsh on many things but Joe Walsh answers his own phone and does constituent service while Melissa Bean’s staffers ignored constituents and voters never heard from Bean herself. These things matter to voters that are not ideological, i.e. the independents.
One voter told me recently he didn’t agree with Walsh on many things but Joe Walsh answers his own phone and does constituent service while Melissa Bean’s staffers ignored constituents and voters never heard from Bean herself.
Melissa Bean was one of the most corrupt members of the House. It’s what happens when the party lets hacks like her(or Lipinski in a deep blue district) do what ever she wants and don’t realize it is too late until we have Speaker Orange Julius.
No argument and they pollute the brand. I’ll scream next time the news talks about a bi-partisan bill whose sponsor is Joe Lieberman.