Progress Pond

What Will the SCOTUS Do With Health Care?

Ambulances parked in front of the U.S. Capitol Building in Washington DC.

Have any of you thought about the different scenarios that might unfold depending on how the Supreme Court rules on the Affordable Care Act? I listened to the oral arguments again last night and I can’t say that the experience was too helpful in predicting what will happen. It seems likely that Scalia will not be interested in spiking the mandate and keeping the rest of the law. He seems inclined to either uphold the law or kill it in its entirety. But he doesn’t necessarily have the support of Justices Roberts and Kennedy for killing the whole bill.

What do your tea leaves tell you? Or, since this is medical debate, perhaps you should consult some entrails.

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