Steve Kornacki did a pretty interesting interview with Newt Gingrich in Salon magazine. Gingrich can be intriguing when he isn’t running for office, and his ideas for how to revamp the Republican Party have merit. I want to highlight just one exchange from the interview and then makes some observations.
KORNACKI: When you look at the Republican Party’s relationship with African Americans and Hispanics, what is the message you want to deliver to those voters?
GINGRICH: I’m for a big rethinking. I don’t think a modestly reformed Republican Party has any real chance of competing in the absence of a dramatic disaster. If there was a big disaster, people would be driven away from the Democrats, but in the absence of a really big disaster, if you want to compete in a difficult but not impossible world, we’re going to have to have very large fundamental rethinking.
The first thing you have to do with African Americans, Latinos, and Asian-Americans and Native Americans is go there. They don’t need to come to you; you need to go to them. And when you go there, listen. Phase one is not going there to tell about you. Why is it we can have entire cities that are disasters, that we can have 500 people getting killed in Chicago, we can have Detroit collapsing, we can have the highest black unemployment teenage in modern history, and no Republican politician can figure out that going there to say, “Gee, shouldn’t we do something to make this better”? And then talk about it jointly, so it becomes a joint product — that it’s not “Let me re-explain conservatism.” I don’t mean to walk away from conservatism, but we need to understand conservatism in the context of people who are talking with us.
Let’s begin with the fact that there were 59 precincts in Philadelphia and 9 in Cleveland where Mitt Romney won zero votes. This wasn’t fraud. It was a clear signal that conservatism as it exists today is a complete non-starter in our cities. It isn’t even given a chance. It convinces almost no one. Gingrich seems to understand this.
He understands that the Republicans don’t understand what these voters want. They might understand some of their problems, like gun violence, gang activity, lousy schools, broken homes, lack of opportunity. But they don’t live those problems. They don’t talk to the people who are working in these communities every day to keep kids out of gangs or to improve the schools or to self-police a neighborhood or to create jobs and opportunities. They don’t see how the government helps these communities or how it provides resources to the people who are fighting for these communities. They don’t see how their policies hurt. You have to talk to people to understand why your proposals are seen as so ridiculous and hostile that there are whole communities where not one person will vote for them, even by accident.
The thing is, once you immerse yourself in these neighborhoods and become acquainted with the organizers who are fighting for a better life for their communities, you will become invested in joining the fight on their terms, which is to say that you will see why your ideas are irrelevant.
Whatever conservatism that can survive sustained contact with poor urban minority communities, that is the conservatism of a new Republican Party that can compete for the black and Latino vote.
I think that Gingrich’s advice is solid, but I have a better way. Don’t send some statewide office-seeker into Compton like an anthropologist. Instead, recruit candidates to run in urban districts and allow those candidates to craft their own message that appeals to their neighbors. If they run on national Republican principles, they’ll be lucky to get 10% of the vote. If they run on a set of values that can actually win, those values won’t look like Republican values…at first. But once some of them win and join the Republican Caucus, the party will be diversified and modernized. Over time, the party would become more fractious, but also larger and more competitive.
Democrats from FDR’s time until now, have always known that party unity gets fewer results than a majority coalition. If the Republicans want to retain their conservative uniformity, they’re doomed. But if they can allow some very left-wing members within their coalition, they can prosper just as the Democrats did through the middle of the 20th-Century with some very right-wing people in their party.
Booman, the best thing about your advice to the GOP, is that they’d rather implode as a political entity rather than take it.
The Republicans believe that people in those neighborhoods are immersed in such a different cultural, political, and material situation that a vision and a platform that appeal to local residents must inevitably express values and beliefs that are impossible to square with the ideological and moral foundation of conservatism in its modern, American form.
The Republicans are probably right about that.
They are in the process of doing just that.
Very interesting…..This is the same discussion that is taking place right now in the weekly Leadership meetings in our county’s Democratic Party. We are in the most virulently red area of the state. A county where there has not been anyone win since the 1980’s, running as a Democrat. And over the years, in the county party, it just became accepted as conventional wisdom that they wouldn’t even try. So there was a coup of sorts, and a very progressive, activist individual took over the chairmanship of the party a couple of years ago, and is trying to breathe life into what was a very moribund organization.
And what you outlined as appropriate for Newt and the GOP in the inner cities is pretty much the tact that we are coming around to in our own circumstance. I would be very interested in hearing the thoughts of people who might have been involved in situations similar to our county’s. We are brainstorming every week and trying to identify areas in which we can start to make inroads, to get Democrats placed in positions of responsibility, even if they are unelected positions, in order to begin to develop some sort of “farm team” that might, someday, have the experience to step into running for elective office. There has been a lot of discussion about targeting a handful of specific races that might be riper for picking than others. But we can’t really extend ourselves too far, as actually finding people willing to step up and take on the responsibility is, of course, a difficulty.
Your advice for Newt is quite prescient for me, as I think the advice applies anywhere one is trying to make difficult inroads, politically.
Well, the old model which worked well enough to grab and hold the House for four years, was to Blue Dog it.
Insofar as the Blue Dogs represented a more culturally conservative constituency, it’s not that much of a problem on most things (women’s rights being the main exception). It’s the financing model that was problematic. They wound up being deficit scolds and they were wiped out as soon as the economy collapsed and the party had to do massive deficit spending.
A better model is populist. This used to be an alliance between Labor and farmers, but both groups have been decimated in numbers. Still, the natural alliance is still there. I see no reason why some of that old rhetoric can’t come back and be appealing in rural Ohio. Senators like Tom Harkin and Sherrod Brown have been immensely successful in part because they have served on the Agriculture Committee. I know Bernie Sanders has a huge base of support from dairy farmers in Vermont who have little in common from Jewish guy from Brooklyn who calls himself a socialist.
So, there are ways to break through and do it in a way where progressive ideals aren’t entirely muted or sacrificed.
I can’t see how it can work. How are you going to persuade rural populists whose main issue is that they hate black people to support Democrats?
that ain’t their main issue for most of them.
Really? Where? Surely in rural texas and ohio and all through the south, pennsyltucky, … that’s been what I have seen.
Populism seems like an exercise in nostalgia. The Dems have to bring voting and effective government to cities and burbs.
It’s a factor, but that doesn’t make it the most important factor. For the subsection that actually does feel that way, we can’t convince them. But they are a minority in most places.
By the way, I have spent a lot of time in Vermont, and many of those dairy farmers are Jewish guys from Brooklyn.
http://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-life-and-religion/75488/farmville
As it pertains to local issues and campaigns in our area, I don’t think race enters into the equation that much. There are just as many bigots in the local GOP here as anywhere. But local issues are not generally drug into the racial mud.
I spent some time in Southeastern ohio. It’s fascinating to meet white people on federal assistance whose big issue is black people on federal assistance
Oh yes, that dissonance isn’t relegated to the Appalachian southeast of the state, by any means. It is just as strong around here. And just as many “Keep the gubmint’s hands off my Medicare” seniors around here, too. BooMan framed the conservative mindset around this area quite well in this post earlier today. It is almost comical that, in such a red area as this, almost no one recognizes themselves as among that 47%, those awful “takers” so constantly vilified and demonized by the party that they cheer on. It’s always those damn “others”. Even if the “others” are doing nothing any different than all those members in good standing in the tribe.
The battle we face is that without a really well known candidate with the proper reputation, putting a D next to their name on the ballot spells certain defeat. We kind of have to target races where party affiliation is not listed, just to try and get people with Democratic principles in some kind of positions for future growth. That helps with the issue of name recognition, down the road.
A local guy ran for State House this past election. He tacked a bit to the right on some issues in order to try and win over a few of the fence sitters. It didn’t seem to work out for him. Money is a big issue. Given the deep red state of things around here, it takes major persuasion to get the Ohio Democratic Party to fund local candidates, but it’s getting a little better.
We know we have a steep hill to climb. It’s going to be a hard slog. But we are committed to working on this thing for the long haul.
The thing to remember is that most people, even in your conservative area, aren’t really all that political. If you give them the national narrative between the R’s and the D’s, they are going to choose the R’s because that message is tailored to their pride, fears, and prejudice. But there are a ton of issues that don’t rise to the national level.
One way to start organizing is to find local issues that don’t really have a clear R vs. D angle to them, except for the ideologues who oppose spending money on anything ever. You organize around those issues rather than candidates. And you start building up your social network and recruiting new opinion leaders and organizers. You socialize them into your group and then all of a sudden they have a safe environment in which they can think differently. They get rewards (socially) in new ways.
Of course, this stuff takes time, but you know that.
When you do run candidates, those candidates should focus on the local issues you’ve organized around.
And when it becomes necessary to discuss national issues, it should whenever possible be the preference to take a somewhat unorthodox position. In my opinion, when it comes to economic matters, it is best to take a more populist angle than the national party.
It’s not a perfect example, but I remember when Jon Tester (as a candidate in 2006) responded to a question about fixing the Patriot Act by saying that he wanted to repeal it.
Montana is conservative, but it’s also libertarian, and going to the left of the national party actually helped him, a lot.
Sherrod Brown knows this and he’s been successful in your state using exactly this kind of approach.
That’s exactly what we are doing going forward. The goal is to focus on local issues which don’t have a partisan political angle (R vs D), but where the issue is the concern. Now these issues will certainly have some kind of political angle, such as school issues where teachers and administrators are involved, but there are no sharp partisan lines in a lot these. And they don’t have to be framed in that way, either. These things can be used as springboards to get people interested and then involved with things which directly affect their families.
We are definitely seeing an uptick in local interest. There are new people at every monthly meeting, and there is an organized effort to follow up and stay in contact with those people. And we are working hard to develop a program moving forward to cultivate candidates and to grow the resources which are available to us. From what I hear, this type of concerted effort has never really been done within the local party in a long, long time; if ever. I think we are on the way to developing a blueprint for eventual success and also a means to pass on a working model to the next generation of Democrats in our local area.
That’s the goal. Only hard work and perseverance will make it a reality.
No party can let its candidates go as far off the reservation as a Republican candidate would have to go in order to have a platform that appeals to residents of urban, majority-minority neighborhoods.
The cultural gap is just too great. They really do have to spend some time sending in the anthropologists, and changing the mainstream of the party, before what you suggest could even be possible.
When I think of the Harlem Children’s Zone and the charter school movement, I do wonder why no conservative billionaire(s) never tried to build credibility for their ideology by creating a marketplace in education. It could even have been entirely cynical. Lord knows the people with good intentions have managed to hollow out public school systems in places like Philly enough on their own. Instead, it was all “school choice” and “vouchers” and more segregation.
With all the shit the state has put minorities through, you could probably convince some people of more libertarianism…if it was actually going to be fairly applied. And not as an excuse to do even less (hey Paul family). Imagine a Republican party that actually gave a shit about minority-owned small business lending, open housing markets and rigorous fraud protection?
But this is all theoretical nonsense for a fundamentally white supremacist party, so I’ll shut up now.
What makes him think that a big disaster would drive people into voting Republican? Maybe by now people have forgotten how Republicans handle disasters, but I doubt it.
I may be misunderstanding what he means by a “disaster.” I’m thinking Katrina or 9/11.
My suspicious little mind stayed with that same part of Gingrich’s statement:
“I don’t think a modestly reformed Republican Party has any real chance of competing in the absence of a dramatic disaster. If there was a big disaster, people would be driven away from the Democrats, but…”.
Doesn’t this present the picture of a Republican Party which would like to see domestic disasters take place on a regular basis? How long a distance is it from wanting disasters to take place to being actively interested in pursuing policies which help bring on disasters? I would add financial and other disasters to the terrorist and natural disasters supposed by Xecky.
But why should we be surprised? Many Republicans have not evolved from the ratfuckers of the Nixon era. Anything, anything at all, is preferable to the horror of higher offices being held by members of the Democratic Party.
While reading your post my mind kept going back to the image of Ryan and his family pretending to wash dishes. What Gingrich suggests is just not possible for the current GOP. Even the college Young Republicans have alienated minorities with their extreme anti affirmative action positions.
An interesting concept. Gingrich is personally and morally repugnant, but he isn’t stupid in the intellectual sense of the word. He often has something interesting to think about.
I think his idea could work. They would need to find ambitious black candidates that can’t break into the existing Democratic machines, then train them in campaign techniques and provide funding and technical support. Some of their slogans would have to be bent a bit, like getting government of your back. How about, “Government should be your partner, not your boss!” And yes, they would have to actually deliver something. I think the big city machines have failed to deliver to inner city communities. They have failed schools and cops that are little different from the gangs. It would be hard, but it could work.
Another one of Newt’s “big ideas.” Note his “Phase One” isn’t about addressing problems but only learning the language used by minorities to articulate what they view as problems in their community. Then hand that research off to the GOP spin-meisters to craft a message to those folks the way Reagan got all those Democrats and union members to forget why they weren’t standing in breadlines and vote GOP.
Rove at the CA GOP convention offered a different prescription:
In the audience:
Libby from the “I got mine; screw everybody else” party. Wonder how many young minds this Libby destroyed through his/her selfishness, stupidity and/or hate.
Now if only there was an opposition party to the venal GOP that didn’t sell slightly diluted GOP policies.
The new ready-made excuse for Beltway bandits, incompetents, and nincumpoops – FBI Warns Sequestration Will Hamper All Their Hard-Hitting Wall Street Investigations
And a response:
(NC legislature gerrymandered Miller’s district out of existence.)
That is anathema to conservatism – conservatism does not believe that the proper role of government is to help people. Conservatism believes that the government is to set the conditions for universal success but it is not the role of government to “pick winners and losers” i.e. to make people succeed or to make them fail. Money, of course, trumps ideology so we see all kinds of corporate welfare from “conservatives” but poor people don’t have the resources to get them to ignore their ideology.
And, of course, there are those who use the fig-leaf of conservative ideology to mask their xenophobia – there is no reconciling them to an urban agenda.
Ultimately, either the Republican Party will remain the party of conservatism or the Republican Party will become a viable national party – it can’t do both.
Exactly, Irreconcilable.
The real way out for the GOP is to beak free of the conservatives and return to Eisenhower/Nixon/Rockefeller Republicanism.
Slightly less liberal than the Democrats on class war issues and maybe a bit more to the right on social issues and they would still be an alternative.
But that could only happen if a bunch of moderate to liberal Republicans, complete with money men, decided to make a revolution in the party comparable to the conservative takeover in the quarter decade between Goldwater and Reagan.
And the conservatives, much better dug in than the liberals ever were, would fight back like madmen.
Only if they want to go back to being a party that win the White House but not the House of Representatives. Remember, that was their condition from 1933-1995 with only four years of exception.
Not so sure of that. They only have the house because of carefully drawn districts. Would they get fewer votes for the house, or just different votes, possibly in different districts?
Assuming we’re talking about a revolution reaching top to bottom and not only affecting their choice of presidential candidate.
??