Prof. James Caesar may have a brain fever or it could be that his brain is just dysfunctional. It works well enough for him to pen extremely long articles, however, even if the premises are ridiculous. What he really ought to do, is to go talk to actual supporters of President Obama. He should talk to the people who still support him and the people who once did but no longer do. If he does this, he will discover that virtually none of these people ever had the slightest inclination to see the president as a Messianic figure, nor did they think that the president saw himself that way.
More deadly to his premise than this, however, is his identification of 2013 as the year in which people soured on the president. For those I know who have turned on the president, the change came in the first term. For the most part, it came very early in the first term. Some were appalled that Obama chose Rahm Emanuel as his chief of staff and began attacking the president even before he was sworn in. Others were outraged that Larry Summers and Tim Geithner were given responsibility for handling the economy. Others never forgave the president for not getting a bigger stimulus package or demanded a public option in the healthcare bill. Still others were disillusioned that the Bush administration and the CIA were given a pass for torture and that the prison in Guantanamo Bay could not be closed. And then there is the drone program, NSA spying, and the continuation of the war in Afghanistan.
All of these things were evident by the time the voters went to the polls in November 2012 and reelected the president. With the exception of recent revelations about the NSA, none of these things got worse in 2013 than they had been in 2012.
What happened in 2013 is that the president was unable to accomplish through legislative means any of the things that the people elected him to do, and he wasn’t able to do anything about gun violence either, which was a priority that arose after his reelection when the children in Connecticut were cut down in their first grade classrooms. But this hasn’t caused widespread disillusion with the president. Whatever disillusion that exists on the left, already existed, and most of us voted for him again anyway.
Now, if there is even a kernel of truth in what Prof. Caesar is arguing, it is in the idea that Obama encouraged that he could get us beyond a Blue State America and a Red State America and give us a United States of America. I think even Obama felt that he might be able to do this and he spent too much time nurturing this delusion. But, again, that dream began to die the second that the Republicans refused to take responsibility for destroying the economy and opposed the Stimulus en masse. The dream was dead no later than August 2009, when the Tea Party arose. The president did not run for reelection on a promise to fix the culture of Washington. And that is not why people voted for him the second time around.
So, what’s with this?
And what of the Great Disappointment of 2013? In the promiscuous blending of politics and culture that characterizes our age, the launch of the Obama campaign in 2007 marked the beginning of a politico-spiritual movement that promised a new beginning and a transformation of the nation. It was to be the “moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal . . . [when we] restored our image as the last, best hope on Earth.” Faith in the leader knew no bounds. Obamaism spilled out from the college campuses and tony enclaves of Manhattan and San Francisco into the mass public to become first an American and then a worldwide phenomenon. The legion of believers included not only the youth in their T-shirts emblazoned with the silk-screen Obama image, but also many of the nation’s most experienced political observers. By early 2009, the five wise persons from Oslo had come bearing the gift of the Nobel Peace Prize. No date was fixed for the fulfillment of all the hopes and promises—extensions were continually asked for under the excuse that “change would never be easy”—but enough time had transpired by the end of 2013 for people to sense that the deadline had come and gone.
Maybe the right can comfort themselves that their obstruction has limited how “transformational” Obama’s presidency will ultimately prove to be. In truth, unless the conservatives figure out a way to repeal the Affordable Care Act and eliminate the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the president’s transformative legacy will be fairly secure. Some of his great achievements, like the advances in gay rights and decision to look the other way as cannabis is semi-legalized, are really generational achievements. He was merely at the right place at the right time, and was wise enough not to hold up progress.
Other areas of blockage, including (potentially) immigration reform, may come back to haunt the Republicans and redound to the benefit of the next Democratic presidential contender. If, say, Hillary Clinton ultimately gets the credit for reforming our immigration system, that will hardly benefit the Republicans going forward.
The Republicans have proven that they won’t compromise even when they are offered plans that they used to call their own (like the Heritage Foundations’ RomneyCare, McCain/Palin’s cap and trade, or Chained CPI). Everyone knows that the president kept his promise to try to change the culture in Washington, and everyone knows why he wasn’t successful in that regard.
But no one expected a messiah, and no one is disillusioned that they didn’t get one.
I didn’t help support, or be the first one to bring up his name as a potential Presidential candidate at the 2006 (2005?) meeting of Eastern NC Democrats, and go to countless Obama organizational meetings – where I was one of the leaders – and help GOTV, and make countless phone calls and shake thousands of hands, because I thought Obama was the Messiah!
I did it because he was right on the Iraq War, and Hillary – who I have always respected – was wrong on that.
And I never saw him as anything more than a slightly left-of-center Democrat – if that!
I knew his skin color, if he won, would prohibit him from being more Liberal.
I got about what I expected – a very competent, scandal-free President, who accomplished a GREAT DEAL, when he had a Democratic Congress.
And since then, he’s still accomplished a lot of terrific things, despite the Conservative sociopathic loons in both houses of Congress!
I went sour on him about 25 or 25 January 2009.
When he failed to declare property to be theft, or call on us to expropriate the expropriators.
I mean, it was clear from his campaign that my expectations of such were completely rational, wasn’t it?
I’ve loved the guy since early in the campaign and I still think he’s wonderful. I truly believe we’ll look back on him as one of the greatest presidents we’ve ever had.
With you. For all its flaws, the ACA turns the page and makes health care for all the standard going forward. Obama pushed this despite the political ill wind certain to follow. He may have “been in the right place at the right time” for gay rights, but if a Republican (or less principled Dem) had been in office, who knows when things would have changed. There has been no triangulating. His offer for chained CPI notwithstanding, ( I suspect he knew R’s would never trade taxes) he has been an unapologizing progressive. Plus his style and personality are very appealing to me.
I was naive enough to believe that he could bring both parties together and accomplish reforms on a bi-partisan basis. And by “naive” I mean that I simply didn’t grasp the degree to which the Rethuglicans were going to go to thwart him on anything and everything he tried to do. I figured they were pretty crazy up to then – I didn’t realize the batshit levels to which they had progressed.
That withstanding I think he has done many exceptional things and I think history will agree with me on that. I have been able to retire early because of ObamaCare and my kids are now all protected whether or not their jobs offer health insurance benefits. The ACA is not perfect and will need tweaking as we go forward but it’s been liberating to so many people and will continue to be. President Obama has accomplished a lot more, and a certain segment of the left will never, ever, in a million years, give him credit for it but the ACA is an incredible achievement.
Will Obama ever get credit for pulling the country out of the nosedive that greeted him in ’09? Yes, the recovery has been lackluster – maybe the R’s have something to do with that? For me personally, the stimulus saved my job and kicked it into high gear until September ’11, when the funds stopped. Changed my economic circumstances immensely. I suspect a lot of others could say the same thing.
Although I filled in the ballot circle for him, I was really voting against Romney and the odious Paul Ryan.
I lost faith in him long ago when he was more concerned with preserving the multi-million dollar bonuses of the banksters than the millions of unemployed and foreclosed “little people”, i.e. the people he suckered in 2008. I would have voted Green in 2012 if McCain or someone not a raving fascist had been nominated by the Republicans.
Have you seen McCain’s comments lately? He was more of a threat than Romney.
No, I haven’t. He seems like yesterday’s news.
The first half of that is arguably true, depending on “expected” versus “created in the funhouse hall of mirrors in many people’s minds” like Prof. Caesar, but your theory on the second half is disproven daily around here.
So Prof. Caesar is at UVa and the Hoover Institution. That tells you loads right there. Establishment right and neo-conservative; ergo, Weekly Standard material. Trying to frame the mid-terms in terms of Obama. Isn’t that what the DC consultants told the GOP to do?
At the local level, the GOP is circulating a supposed Student ID from Columbia University list Barry Soetero as a “Foreign Student”. And doing pithy bumper sticker statements against redistribution, such as “You can’t multiply wealth by dividing it.” (But that is is the only way you can. Think about it. Especially about what intermediation is usually about.) Smelling desperation as they are pumping Trey Gowdy, who has no challenger at all. (Shame SC Democrats!)
So Prof. Caesar (interesting that this article comes up fourth in a search on Duck Duck Go) is the Harry Byrd Professor of Political Science at UVa. Living up to his benefactor, an anti-New Deal Democrat.
So there is another acquisition for the Frog Pond Bestiary of exotic Republican apologists.
The story is not about President Obama, it is about the desperation and continuous dishonesty of the establishment GOP. All they can hope to do from here on out is sabotage as much as they can. (Which is why Sen. Menendez’s BS on Iran is so irritating as are the continuing cross-over votes from House Democrats.)
Obama worked a full term plus a year for a United States of America. That was the first thing the Republicans sought to sabotage. Ironically, despite the appearances in the political media and Wall Street media, the GOP has failed even to do that. When the Democratic Party establishment gets over the idea that there are red states and blue states, they might be surprised at what they can win back. Especially when the Kansas legislature is indemnifying corporal punishment at school that causes bruises and the Arizona legislature is relegislating discrimination.
Kansas is fascinating – an experiment in which the right wing gets to implement pretty much everything it wants. very much wondering how it will play out. as for Menendez, hoping Rush Holt will primary him now that he’s resigning (while working on green energy maybe) – no news what he plans to do, but he said nothing about “spending more time with his family”. in fact he said he doesn’t know what the next step will be (in his letter to constituents)
For those I know who have turned on the president, the change came in the first term. For the most part, it came very early in the first term. Some were appalled that Obama chose Rahm Emanuel as his chief of staff and began attacking the president even before he was sworn in.
I don’t know any Obama supporter who did that. Perhaps some PUMAs (remember them?) did – thinking maybe the FDL people. As an Obama supporter I did feel queasy when I saw that appointment, and years later in retrospect I see that as the first sign of severe trouble. But at the time every Obama supporter I knew was still very positive and upbeat.
Others were outraged that Larry Summers and Tim Geithner were given responsibility for handling the economy. Others never forgave the president for not getting a bigger stimulus package or demanded a public option in the healthcare bill. Still others were disillusioned that the Bush administration and the CIA were given a pass for torture and that the prison in Guantanamo Bay could not be closed. And then there is the drone program, NSA spying, and the continuation of the war in Afghanistan.
With the exception of single-issue folks (like Greenwald on civil rights or people focused entirely on global warming) I think very few Obama supporters lost faith for any single one of these reasons. But the list of separate reasons together is pretty weighty. For me, while I’m dismayed at some of the tactical political decisions made (such as delaying votes on health care for months in the hope for some GOP support), my biggest policy gripes were: 1) failure to realize in September 2009 that the Krugman types were right and more economic stimulus was needed (at a time when there were 60 Dems in the Senate and a big majority in the House); 2) wholly inadequate response to global warming given the severity; and 3) the continuation of 98% of Bush policies regarding military and espionage (when you get Dick Cheney’s mark of approval you know you’re on the wrong side of the issue).
But on the whole you are right – there was no great disappointment in 2013. In fact, in 2013 with the re-election over Obama has gotten better on many key issues. Those of us who enthusiastically supported him in 2008, got disillusioned in the period 2009-2011, reluctantly supported him again in 2012 as the lesser of two evils – well most of us are pleasantly surprised so far in the second term.
Now, if there is even a kernel of truth in what Prof. Caesar is arguing, it is in the idea that Obama encouraged that he could get us beyond a Blue State America and a Red State America and give us a United States of America. I think even Obama felt that he might be able to do this and he spent too much time nurturing this delusion.
Well, for most of us disillusioned former Obama enthusiasts that’s a huge issue. We see Obama as the guy who all his life managed to play the centrist-above-the-fray who got people to come together for solutions. From his days in high school to community organizing to running the Harvard Law Review to getting legislation through the state legislature. We see him as not getting until very, very late in the game that the other side would not compromise because the other side does not see Obama as an impartial mediator, but instead sees him as the enemy who must be denied any success at any cost.
I still don’t think Obama fully gets it. Lots of signs of improvement, but then he does something stupid like the Bill O’Reilly interview during the super bowl (edited carefully by Fox, of course).
It’s not about him personally grasping the Republican intransigence – of course he does. He’s not ignorant of history. It’s how he proceeds in public. A pretense, a front of “bipartisanship” allows for resolution without humiliating the opponent. Of course they have refused and they have humiliated themselves, and he’s pushed them into a corner while talking about bipartisanship.
I agree. We can’t read Obama’s mind, but we don’t have to treat him like an idiot. Someone who misreads the opposition that badly for several years on end does not get elected President after beating the Clinton machine. If a bunch of random people on the internet realized that the Republicans were absolutely intransigent in 2009, there’s a pretty good chance Obama realized it, too.
But just because he knows it doesn’t mean he’s going to say it out loud. For most of his administration, it has benefitted President Obama much more to make bipartisan overtures than to be overtly combative. If he had slammed the Republicans every chance he got, would it have really gotten the ACA passed any faster? You can lay the blame for that at the feet of Max Baucus.
It turns out, shockingly, that President Obama is a politician. Sometimes he says things not because he believes them but because he wants to convey a certain effect or image.
Agree with you – nice phrasing re: the bunch of random ppl on the internet who somehow are more discerning of Repubs mo than the black guy who got himself elected president.
I don’t really think of Barack Obama as a politician. I think of him as a community organizer who holds political office. Political organizers look to empower the populace and for substantial change without any credit necessarily accruing to the organizer. I wonder how ACA will play out down the line, for example. If he accomplished nothing else that would be amazing enough in terms of impact on ppl’s lives, – empowering is a word I’d use
Obama did three things in 2013 that would anger someone like Prof. Caesar. And they happened about the same time. (1) Obama reversed course on Syria and accepted negotiations to remove chemical weapons. (2) Obama opened dialog directly with Iran on resolving the (bogus) nuclear weapons issue that had caused the US to organize a sanctions campaign on Iran. (3) Obama told the House Republicans that he would not negotiate under the threat of default.
It’s a old rule of interpreting modern conservative Republicans to first inquire where they are projecting their own views. Voter ID laws are for example a sucker punch for precinct and tabulation-level voter fraud strategies.
It’s the GOP who are disappointed with Obama. He stood up and directly confronted them. Strongly. The public loved those things. Which is why the Republicans are trying to frighten Obama into weakness again.
very nice analysis!
Exactly.
It’s projection, all the way down.
Messiah? You mean like St. Ronald Reagan? The guy the right-wing goes out of their way to name things after? The fucking asshole who broke laws and violated the Constitution to help right-wingers in Central and South America, and the Mid-East, kill nuns and children? Right.
The Republican party is nothing but cognitive dissonance and projection, with an unhealthy dose of delusion.
A lot of people who don’t pay attention to politics like Obama because he isn’t batshit fucking insane like Republicans. They see a somewhat young, intelligent black man who talks reasonably about many issues that exist for normal people. Then they watch buffoons like Newt fucking Gingrich and Rick Santorum, and realize that both sides don’t both do it.
I voted for Obama in the primary because I fucking loathe oligarchy and will give up everything to stop aristocracy, and HRC, for better or worse, is just more of the same. Adams I and Adams II. The Roosevelts. Bush and Bush Jr. Mr. Clinton and possibly Mrs. Clinton. And that’s just the Presidency. Nevermind the House, Senate and state offices that are handed down from father to son, or father to daughter.
Of course, I’ll vote for HRC, and do my own part to get progressives and real liberals in office using her coattails. I’ll do it because not voting is the exact same as voting for a Republican, regardless of the PuresTM who think that their avoidance is somehow more moral than trying to make things less shitty through actual action.
But what fucking liberal thinks Obama is the messiah? 3/4 of the time, reading progressive and liberal comment boards, you see nothing but criticism from the left. Shit, I criticize him myself as being a 70’s era non-insane socially-liberal Republican. The man is a fucking neo-liberal. But I’m supposed to think that he’s a communist? Dear god…
Messiah? You mean Ronald Reagan, Professor Dumbfuck?
Every president “disappoints”. Period. I could not get far into that article because the author seems to be going for some fantasy unique to Obama that just isn’t there.
Maybe it’s only a minor quibble, but as Scott Lemieux has been explaining very carefully for months, the Affordable Care Act is not “the Heritage Foundation’s RomneyCare”. While Willard Mitt Romney took the credit for a similar plan in Massachusetts after the state legislature overrode his eight vetoes of crucial elements in the bill, he doesn’t deserve it, and the Heritage Foundation still less. Please read Lemieux’s post. It may not be France or even Switzerland, but it’s a public acknowledgment of health care as a public good that must be taken care of, and it will lead to a better system, and Republicans are quite right to hate it
It is using state power to force people to buy a product from a private company. That is a very Republican plan.
That’s a kind of Republican argument (being the one they took to the Supreme Court). Private insurers are cut into the deal in France, Switzerland, Netherlands, Japan, and all sorts of places. In Germany they have quasi-private statutory agencies of the kind our Multistate Program should turn into over the next few years. Very few countries have true socialized medicine. One of them, England’s, is certainly not more egalitarian and happy than France’s.