If someone wanted to, they could make an amusing video montage of the 2012 Republican presidential aspirants using the words “Ronald Reagan” incessantly in each of their thirty billion debates. Once Reagan left office, the GOP decided to lionize him. They named a Washington DC airport after him. Grover Norquist launched a project to “name at least one notable public landmark in each U.S. state and all 3067 counties after the 40th president.” He’s made real progress in that regard, too. There’s a portion of Interstate 65 in Alabama that has been named the Ronald Reagan Memorial Highway, and there is the Ronald Reagan UCLA Medical Center in Los Angeles, for example. All across the country, theaters, roads, and courthouses bear the name of The Gipper.
What’s fascinating about this is that the 40th president has a much more moderate record, even on taxation, than his Republican contemporaries. But they don’t judge him on his record. They see him as the vanguard of a revolution. His accomplishments were constrained by the fact that he spent eight years dealing with a Democratic House of Representatives and two years dealing with a Democratic Senate.
It wasn’t until the Gingrich Revolution in 1994, long after Reagan had slipped into senility, that the conservatives gained the chance to really exercise “Reaganism.” And the revolutionaries were constrained by the presidency of Bill Clinton, who they soon impeached.
I think the fundamental disconnect between how conservatives view Ronald Reagan and how every one else views him, is that conservatives don’t really care what he actually did, but only what (they think) he stood for.
So, for example, it doesn’t matter that the budget deficit exploded under Reagan or that he continuously raised the debt ceiling. It doesn’t matter that he repeatedly raised taxes. It doesn’t matter he talked about nuclear disarmament. Those things resulted from the necessity of dealing with a Democratic Congress. Either that, or they are overshadowed by the former president’s strong Cold War rhetoric.
We tend to see this is as simple projection. Conservatives impose their own beliefs on a president who may not have shared them, at least not to the same degree. But there is an alternate reality somewhere in which Reagan would have had the congressional support to pursue his “real” agenda. You can say the same thing about President Obama. With Obama, he did have two years where he was able to (mostly) pursue his agenda, albeit only a few months in which he could impose his will. Yet, his agenda never contemplated that he would take office in the midst of the worst economic crisis in more than a half century. Had he taken the oath of office in normal economic times, his first two years would have been devoted to a lot of different things.
I think it’s a mistake to look at the record of presidents and think that they did exactly what they wanted to do. In a sense, the Republicans have a perverse view of Reagan that bears little relation to his actual performance in office. But, in another sense, they’re correct to see him as far more radical than his record. He truly was the vanguard for these lunatics.
For historians, that should not count in his favor.
In Obama’s case, the reverse might be true. And liberals may come to view him less by what he actually accomplished (especially in his second term) than by his significance as the man who ushered in the end of the era of Reagan.
On the other hand, most liberals that I know are more likely to spend their golden years nitpicking Obama’s presidency than working to name their streets and schools after him.
That’s just how we roll.
[Cross-posted at Ten Miles Square]
By 2020, Obama will be a heroic figure to most Democrats. The Big Dog plays that role today, and his record is abysmal compared to Obama’s. It’s never easy to stay enthused about a second-term president while he’s still in office. Not even Reagan enjoyed that.
Not just 2020. In many communities of color, President Obama is a heroic, if complex, figure today.
Not just communities of color, as JeffL notes below of one multicolored group.
I agree Obama will be lionized by the left in ten years, even though the comparison falls short. Conservatives support Reagan despite his lack of conservative accomplishments (because of the constraints of a Democratic Congress) for a reason:
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2013/07/qotd-rick-perlstein.html
I have always ascribed Reagan worship to the need for a savior, along with a deep-seated case of Kennedy envy. (Newt)
Who else do they have to exalt? In my experience, Nelson Rockefeller came the closest to embodying republicanism.
Attica! Attica! Attica!
Yes, it was a moment of high comedy when the GOP morons tried to get Reagan on the $10 bill, because “all the other bills have presidents on them”.
And Carville bet them $100 that they were wrong.
I enjoyed it when they wanted to boot FDR off the dime in favor of Ronnie — and Nancy, of all people, said no.
I admit that I saw Nancy in a different light after that.
Clearly there’s an opportunity to put Nixon on a $3 bill.
Dubya should go on a $0 bill.
Reagan? Put him on the $1T platinum coin.
Well, they believe that:
You have to give Reagan’s handlers credit, they were masters of symbolism. And symbolism is what sticks in the mind.
The reality is very different:
1) Stagflation started with the oil price shocks of 1973-4 and never really recovered due to cluelessness of the Fed plus the auto-inflation built into labor contracts at the time. The second round of oil price shocks in 1978-9 made stagflation semi-permanent, in small part because in addition to a dramatic increase in the cost of a critical resource it caused Americans to seek high MPG cars, which meant a dramatic shift toward foreign auto suppliers.
What killed stagflation was Paul Volcker, appointed as Fed chair in early 1980 by Carter, instituting an economic starvation policy to kill off inflation at the expense of a horrible recession. Volcker told Reagan that this was the worst time for a big tax cut, Reagan went ahead, Volcker turned up the interest rates (anyone remember CDs with interest rates of 18%?) and by 1982 the economy was near depression levels. The recession was longer and worse than it needed to be because of the tax cut, but fortunately for the GOP the turnaround happened just in time for the 1984 election.
In fact, Reagan’s team did two key things. First, the CIA had known since the mid-1970s that the only think propping up the horribly inefficient Soviet economy was hard currency from exports of oil to non-Soviet bloc countries. They also knew that given the Soviet’s backward technologies that they’d probably become a net oil importer around 1984-5 and that at that time the country would fall into major internal crisis. Not coincidentally, 1985 was when the Politburo put Gorbachev, their maverick, in charge which is what you do when you have a crisis unsolvable by normal means.
What Reagan’s team did was make a deal with the Saudis, Iraq, Kuwait, and a few other countries to create a temporary massive glut in the world oil market to drive the price down (remember gas being near $1 again in the mid-1980s?) and thus make the Soviet’s economic situation even worse. It worked – this forced Gorbachev to push harder for reforms. It’s telling that GHWB wasn’t in on the plan – he was on record in 1986 complaining that the low oil prices were destroying his adopted home state of Texas.
The second thing Reagan did was win the confidence of Gorbachev personally, particularly at the summit in Iceland, basically letting him know that the warmonger rhetoric was bullshit and it was okay for the Soviets to give up the empire. Even so, Gorbachev waited until Reagan was out of office and they’d established that GHWB was at least rational before making that trip to Berlin and telling Erich Honecker that the game was up.
A tax cut (temporary tax cut) was the right thing to do in a recession, classic Keynes. Today’s Republicans would call for slashing government spending instead and balancing the budget which would have given us 50% unemployment.
Despite the rhetoric, Reagan increased spending (mostly military) and cut taxes, classic strategies to stop recessions. The spending should have been on infrastructure and the tax cuts temporary credits for updating obsolete manufacturing plants, but that’s a quibble. It’s Volcker to blame for the recession which was prolonged because the Fed and the Administration were pulling in opposite directions, like now, but with roles reversed.
Both Republicans and Democrats have to realize that there is no permanent economic policy. The right policy (actually Left) for a recession is wrong for a boom where it just causes inflationary bubbles. The boom is the time for austerity and balancing or even overbalancing the budget. The budgets that Clinton left to W were proper budgets for that point in the economy.
Sorry, Voice, you’re dead wrong. This wasn’t a classic recession, it was stagflation. High inflation and high unemployment, and it had persisted and worsened for over half a decade.
The problem was that standard economic stimulus would (and did) exponentially increase the high inflation already in the economy, quickly wiping out the benefits.
This is pretty standard IS/LM Keynesian macroeconomics. Paul Volcker recognized that the only solution was to first to eliminate the expectation of high inflation that everyone had – once people stopped expecting double digit inflation it could recede to manageable levels and the economic stimulus could begin. There were economic Nobel prizes won in that era for the analysis of expectations and inflation.
So, Volcker strangled the money supply and jacked interest rates sky high. Reagan got his tax cut passed, so Volcker doubled-down on his strategy. In the end they both won – Volcker killed off inflation and Reagun got the top marginal tax rate down from 70% to 50% and killed off the indexing of tax rates to the CPI, which meant that over time taxes would go down further. Budget Director David Stockman admitted as much to Atlantic Monthly at the time (“the tax cut was a trojan horse to get the top rate down”).
Not that the Democrats performed brilliantly. They countered with their own tax cut that would have cut rates deeply for the lower brackets (but not removed the CPI index).
Only the working people lost.
Boy did we ever.
While the Raygun budget is correctly remembered as being highly stimulant, the massive increases in military spending and corporate welfare were significantly (but not entirely) offset by dramatic cuts in programs for regular people.
For example, in 1980 many colleges had “aid blind” admissions policies. That is, they would make admissions decisions without regard to whether the prospect would apply for financial aid. These were possible because of generous grant programs (BEOG, later renamed “Pell”), and a GSL loan program for everyone and a better NDSL loan program for those in greatest need. These programs allowed middle class kids to go to elite colleges and graduate with reasonable levels of debt. Of course it was assumed they worked part time during the school year (and full time during the summer) but there were grants to help schools fund those school-year jobs.
Raygun killed all that. The college system we have today is completely different, and elite schools are now again mostly for the financial elites.
This was but one example of the many ways Raygun killed the American dream.
Maybe we are arguing about who was the greater villain, Jesse James or Billy the Kid.
And Volcker is a greater criminal than Reagan.
I’d love for there to be a better way out of that economic situation. But I haven’t heard of one, even from liberal Keynesians. Remember concepts like wage/price freezes had been tried and failed – under Nixon, no less.
He violated the Fed’s duty to ensure full employment by destroying family farms, small businesses, home construction, and major corporations (IH as one example).
There had to be a better way of dealing with oil inflation than crashing the economy. Perhaps we should have invaded and occupied the Middle East as we did in the 21st century. Personally, I think embargoing Middle East oil while exempting Canada and Mexico, development of alternative fuels (coming on line when Reagan killed them) and pushing conservation would have been a better alternative. Super-high interest rates only benefited the trust fund babies.
There will be streets named after President Obama. And it will not take liberals in their golden years to do it. But it may take up to a decade to shake the GOP obstruction. Nitpicking progressives and lefties are the least of the problems and have been from the start.
Sigh….The thought of having to listen to the wingnut explosion when this starts happening is already making me tired.
Wait long enough, and they’ll be claiming Obama was really a conservative.
Some people on the left say that already!
Yes, I do!
Liberals in their golden years will be even more bitter and irrational in their contempt and hatred than they are today.
Because he didn’t put Neel Kashkari’s head on a pike. Or something.
For many liberals close to their golden years, they are viewing Obama as the best President of their adult lives. LBJ is the only possible competitor. Context matters in these things. Maybe not to the press or Americans in general – but it does to many historians.
Ezra Klein had some interestng things to say about Obama’s second term. He thinks many good things can get done but they will not be getting recognition.
>>>he repeatedly raised taxes<<<
Every time I read this it makes my head hurt. It is often stated as though it proves even Reagan knew the folly of continually lowering taxes. In fact, what he did was lower taxes a lot on the rich and raise them on the middle and lower income groups.
This fact seems to be obscured in history now, and probably at least partly because when liberals pull this hoary statement out of the way back bag and repeat it mindlessly, it just reinforces the notion that Reagan was a responsible guy, looking out for the interests of the country by doing the hard things. He wasn’t. He was just another conservative bent on transferring all remaining power and wealth to the already powerful and wealthy.
Stop repeating this misleading factoid, please.
Maybe we’re less interested in the idea that Reagan might seem reasonable in retrospect than the idea that modern Republicans look radical in comparison.
Reagan did indeed reduce taxes on the rich and increase them for most everyone else, but he didn’t argue that he could never agree to a tax increase as a matter of principle.
Pointing out his inhumane deportation policy that has wrecked hundred of thousand of families, is that nitpicking?
In Illinois we have a Reagan Tollway
I still call it I-88. Only the TV newscaster call it the Reagan Tollway. Same with I-90, formerly called for decades the Northwest Tollway. Now it’s the Jane Addams. A name most don’t recognize when it’s on the news, even people who live near it.
Reagan demonized the US Government and tipped the balance of power to the plutocrats and as a nation we have yet to recover.
very good post
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