The failure of the latest round of Israel-Palestine talks is going to result in a rude awakening for Israel. The administration isn’t hiding that they almost exclusively blame Israel for the failure. Specifically, they blame the settlers and their most ardent supporters, and the fact that Netanyahu’s government cannot survive if he makes certain required concessions. Here’s an anonymous senior government official closely involved in the talks:
“There are a lot of reasons for the peace effort’s failure, but people in Israel shouldn’t ignore the bitter truth – the primary sabotage came from the settlements. The Palestinians don’t believe that Israel really intends to let them found a state when, at the same time, it is building settlements on the territory meant for that state. We’re talking about the announcement of 14,000 housing units, no less. Only now, after talks blew up, did we learn that this is also about expropriating land on a large scale. That does not reconcile with the agreement.
“At this point, it’s very hard to see how the negotiations could be renewed, let alone lead to an agreement. Towards the end, Abbas demanded a three-month freeze on settlement construction. His working assumption was that if an accord is reached, Israel could build along the new border as it pleases. But the Israelis said no.”
It’s hard not to laugh out loud at: “Only now, after talks blew up, did we learn that this is also about expropriating land on a large scale.” If senior officials in the U.S. Government were operating under a different assumption, that’s over now.
They had other warnings for Israel, too.
“The international community, especially the European Union, avoided any action during the negotiations. Now, a race will begin to fill the void. Israel might be facing quite a problem.
“As of now, nothing is stopping the Palestinians from turning to the international community. The Palestinians are tired of the status quo. They will get their state in the end – whether through violence or by turning to international organizations.
“The boycott and the Palestinian application to international organizations are medium-range problems. America will help, but there’s no guarantee its support will be enough.
“There’s a bigger problem threatening Israel in the immediate future. This is a very concrete threat. If Israel tries to impose economic sanctions on the Palestinians, it could boomerang. The West Bank economy will collapse, and then Abbas will say ‘I don’t want this anymore. Take this from me.’ There’s great potential for deterioration here, which could end with the dismantling of the Palestinian Authority. Israeli soldiers will have to administer the lives of 2.5 million Palestinians, to their mothers’ chagrin. The donating countries will stop paying up, and the bill of $3 billion a year will have to be paid by your Finance Ministry.”
Reading between the lines, the Americans are basically telling the Israelis that they just screwed themselves. And I think that’s, sadly, true. They could have had an agreement reached by mutual settlement, along with the good will of most of the world. They will not get that now. Instead, they will get boycotted and the international community will rally around the Palestinians.
And the American left is about fed up, even at the highest levels of our government.
Abraham, Moses, Jayzooos, and Mohammed, there’s only ONE solution!
The “Two-state” solution!!!
If Bibi and his Israeli government don’t realize it, then it’s their own ignorance, stupidity – AND, evil!!!!!
And it will lead to MORE violence, NOT, less!!!!!!!
Feature, not bug.
For a second when I first saw the title, I thought you meant that Israel was taking responsibility. Like that will ever happen.
Israel was warned, most recently by John Kerry, but apparently they think there are no consequences for their actions. I hope that is about to change. It’s past time for the US to stop shielding Israel.
Israel continues to enjoy very strong support in the United States amongst the political elites. This support has waned somewhat (J-street has risen a few notches and perhaps AIPAC is no longer at its zenith) but is still strong enough to halt any effort to hold Israel accountable in its tracks. My hope is the U.S. will not lift a finger to prevent the Europeans from launching a major boycott of Israel. I hope that American students then begin pressuring their universities to divest of investments in and connected to the Jewish state. I see no other means of bringing down pressure on the right wingers to behave reasonably.
I’m not even that sad for the Israelis, actually. Building settlements on occupied land is just as much an act of aggression as lobbing rockets across the border. If they want to take credit for being the only democracy in the Middle East, that means they also have to take responsibility for their government’s crimes.
PS I don’t believe Martin Indyk was the unnamed US official who leaked information. Due to secrecy of talks, Indyk would lose all credibility to work as a professional on security issues. What is the background of this accusation from Israeli sources?
○ Anglo-American Relationship, Atlanticists and Israel
○ Haaretz: Don’t confuse Obama with a miracle-worker by Richard Silverstein
Haaretz’s Barak Ravid has written about this. Since Ravid is usually a conduit for the Israeli political establishment, I’m guessing he was leaked this story by someone in the PM’s office or the like. [I’m on the fence as Barak Ravid’s investigative work on Danny Seaman‘s propaganda in Netanyahu’s PMO was outstanding – Oui]
An eye-catcher by Larry Derfner @972+
○ U.S. post-mortem on peace talks: Israel killed them
Yedioth Ahronoth‘s Nahum Barnea, Israel’s No. 1 print journalist, has a long interview on Friday with unnamed U.S. officials involved in the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks, giving their view of why they failed. The interview (not published online) is quite a bombshell, as well as a historic document.
h/t kafkanade, a reader @BooMan
○ US Ambassador to Israel, Martin Indyk’s Security Clearance Suspended – Sept. 2000
○ U.S. Department of State Press Briefing [Sept. 25, 2000]
Posted earlier in my diary – Netanyahu Confirms Apartheid State of Israel.
Why would Martin Indyk leak? He’s a Zionist. Why else would he head Brookings’ FP shop?
Indyk already has a reputation for leaking. Madeline Albright almost canned him during the Clinton administration.
Most likely it was not Indyk. And the paper swore to secrecy. If the paper doesn’t spill in the next two or three days, we will suspect that Bibi understands this move even if he doesn’t like it.
Indyk already has a reputation for leaking. Madeline Albright almost canned him during the Clinton administration.
Right, but leaking to make Netanyahu look bad? I don’t see that.
You seem think that anyone that’s a Zionist supports Netanyahu, by definition. If so, you give new meaning to the word “simplistic”.
Agreed. I’ve been a Zionist all my life, and remain one. I see the settlers, and Netanyahu’s obeisance to them, as the greatest present threat to the Zionist cause. I find it entirely plausible that a U.S. negotiatior who is a strong Zionist would leak a story like this.
And that is by no means a rare position.
Not that all Jews are Zionists or all Zionists are Jews, but the important thing is that, Zionist or not, American Jews are far more critical of Israel than you would ever know from the “Jewish establishment”.
http://forward.com/articles/184900/jews-express-wide-criticism-of-israel-in-pew-surve/
I think the American-Jewish community and the Israeli-Jewish community are growing apart at an alarming rate.
It’s really starting to create some strain. I just don’t see the two communities as seeing eye to eye politically or strategically.
.
Cross-posted from my diary – Netanyahu Confirms Apartheid State of Israel.
h/t reader Donald @Tikun Olam
Indyk resigning? How very unfortunate. Isn’t it interesting how folks who can’t perform run into that sort of problem. Bunch of accident-prone neo-cons. Too bad about that history in the Clinton administration of leaking information to Israel; No-Drama does not like that practice.
And now the reality of Israel’s action is available for the US media to mainstream from an Israeli source. Will they do it?
So this whole charade – and I refer to the complete time continuum from 1948 through the foreseeable future – is working on at least 3 levels:
It’s a long game by the Israelis to get to a point where the facts on the ground overwhelm the Palestinians claims. If the Palestinians had leadership like Gandhi or MLK they might have been able to get some meaningful peace and opportunity decades ago. It’s just too late now.
I have just one word of advice to Palestinians: casinos.
Call me crazy… I know it’s grim, but I am not giving up hope.
I think Israel has been too cute by half – with the settlement game – and I think they have backed themselves into a corner.
Your move, President Obama.
Its bad when my response to saying its up to Obama is hysterical laughter. Even the leak indicates America will continue to support Israel no matter what, and that remains true of the Congress AND the people.
I agree.
The Mossad has infiltrated and undermined every Palestinian effort to begin a non-violence movement. This includes actions to incite violence.
Also ignorin the fact that the Palestinians already have a widespread nonviolent movement that is closed over and ignored.
Israel police spokesman Micky Rosenfeld says it’s just hooliganism. One cannot equate these squatter attacks as terrorism.
“Attacks by extremist Israeli settlers against Palestinian residents, property, and places of worship in the West Bank continued and were largely unprosecuted,” the State Department report said, citing UN and NGO data.
Posted earlier @Tikun Olam – Former Shin Bet Chief: Price Tag Terror Impunity Will Lead to Murder of Another Prime Minister.
Interesting little vignette on the front page of The Times Of Israel as I post. The top four stories are…..
I see some memes are getting a workout there.
in what way did the talks fail? If you’re Israeli, the talks were a complete success. The Israeli government, and their citizens, do not want peace. They want victory and all the land, and when Americans insist they pretend for a while to negotiate.
That’s for damned sure. My contempt for the ruling Israeli right is on a par with my contempt for Bush-Cheney. What is it that AIPAC has that allows them to force us to support apartheid and war crimes? The billions in foreign aid to Israel easily offset any incoming AIPAC funds. Or to put it another way, the AIPAC lobbying money is nothing more than a small percentage of our own misplaced foreign aid coming back to be used against our interests.
I’d say I have the same amount of contempt for Labour as Likud.
The “voice” of the “anonymous senior government official” sounds, to me, a bit familiar…
A lesson for bloggers? Courtesy of Doonesbury.
I don’t know how this got placed, but it seems like one of those official leaks. Given the supposed trust between Kerry and Netanyahu, Bibi might even have been given the courtesy of knowing it was coming, whether he picks up on it or not.
Here is the key message, IMO:
That is a huge hint that in the coming days the US might not be as eager to veto resolutions in the UN to save Israel from accountability.
Just my WA guess. It’s good to see that there are still a few people in the State Department or White House who know how to do diplomacy. The venue is very interesting as well. Not Ha’aretz.
We’ll see. I’ll believe we’ll abstain from an Israel/Palestine UN vote when I see it.
I don’t have much to add except to say I hope Israel will not become an example of how a democracy can destroy itself due to the consistent elevation of the stupidest people to the highest office. Because it if is, I fear for our own future.
I already fear for out future. Our grand experiment has moved off the track, and I’m not sure how it gets back on.