Progress Pond

2014 Senate Forecast

Before we get to talking about the Senate, I want you to consider the following possibility. Imagine that tomorrow night the following incumbent Republican governors will lose their bids for reelection:

1. Paul LePage of Maine
2. Tom Corbett of Pennsylvania
3. Rick Snyder of Michigan
4. Scott Walker of Wisconsin
5. Sam Brownback of Kansas
6. Rick Scott of Florida.
7. Sean Parnell of Alaska

I don’t think this far-fetched in the least, and on a good night Governor Nathan Deal of Georgia might lose, too.

Now, don’t get me wrong. There are Democrats running for governor who might lose tomorrow, too, including in deep blue Connecticut and Massachusetts. But before we start talking about an epic beat down for the Democratic Party, we should keep these governor’s races in mind. A governor has a lot more power than any individual senator. And losing control of big states like Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and (perhaps) Georgia would be a very big deal.

So, keep your eyes on these races because the Republicans are risk of suffering a significant bloodbath tomorrow even if things go as expected in the Senate races.

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