I worked over the weekend to complete the digital version of our January/February issue of the magazine. Our cover article is a fascinating piece by Phil Keisling who served as Oregon secretary of state from 1991 to 1999 and is currently the director of the Center for Public Service at Portland State University.
Keisling is pushing the merits of universal vote by mail (UVBM) voting. In particular, he is trying to demonstrate that UVBM voting has more promise to boost voter participation than other reforms like automatic registration that are more popular in Democratic Party circles.
After all, you can register all the people you want to vote but that doesn’t mean that they’ll actually turn out in a primary or when there’s no one prominent on the ballot. If you send everyone a ballot in the mail, however, voting becomes a lot easier and much harder to simply forget.
The three states that used UVBM in 2014 had tremendous turnout even though only one of them had a competitive race for either governor or senator.
In 2014, Oregon’s active voter turnout rate was 70.9 percent—23 percentage points higher than the national average—despite having no hotly contested top races. Colorado, which had both a close Senate and governor’s race, logged a 71.9 percent ARV rate in its debut UVBM election. Washington State had no U.S. Senate or governor’s race in 2014, but its 54 percent ARV turnout still handily beat the national average.
If you’re goal is to boost turnout, voting by mail has proven itself a winner.
But there are a lot of other upsides. One is that it’s a lot easier to figure out who and what you’re voting for if you can sit down with your ballot and your laptop.
How many of us, voting at a traditional polling place, have felt the pressure to rush through the process, picking candidates, especially down-ballot ones, almost at random? Voting by mail, at your kitchen or dining room table, is unhurried. You can use the Internet to learn more about candidates’ policy positions and views, or look for newspaper editorials. You can reach out to knowledgeable relatives, friends, and colleagues who might know more than you do about a particular race. The result is more considered and intelligent voting.
Then there’s that pesky non-existent in-person voter fraud. With no in-person voting, there can’t be any non-existent in-person voter fraud (sorry, ACORN!), and the results are much more secure with actual ballots (mailed or otherwise) than they are with voting machines.
Mail-based voting systems today are far less risky than most polling place elections, precisely because they distribute ballots (and electoral risk) in such a decentralized way. To have any reasonable chance of success, an organized effort to defraud a mail-based system and its safeguards must involve hundreds (if not thousands) of separate acts, all of them individual felonies, that must both occur and go undetected to have any chance of success.
Contrast that to the risks inherent in polling place elections that increasingly rely on direct-recording electronic (DRE) voting systems and proprietary software systems that both record and tally votes. A single successful software hack potentially could affect thousands of votes. It’s the difference between “retail” fraud and “wholesale” fraud. Or, as one county clerk once put it to me, “Ever wonder why no one bothers to counterfeit pennies? If you’re going to risk the jail time, twenties and hundreds make a lot more sense.”
I’ll let you read the whole thing, but I want to give you a taste of the full range of benefits of UVBM elections.
Vote by mail saves money, simplifies elections, and eliminates voting lines. It renders moot the debate over photo ID rules, and lets election officials avoid spending billions on software-enabled (but vulnerable to big-impact hacking) voting equipment. Best of all, it promises double-digit increases in registered voter turnout.
I think the Republicans who actually run this country are getting sick of having to apologize for every compromise and worrying about a successful primary challenge if they’re simply willing to vote to keep the government operating. They’d welcome higher turnout elections, especially in primaries, because it would protect them somewhat from the nihilistic brigades that are now their party’s most committed voters.
Democrats would like higher turnout elections in general, both because they tend to do better in high turnout elections and because high voter participation is an aspirational goal of most liberal policy wonks–it is seen as a sign of a healthy democracy.
It’s not partisan advantage that really sells the idea, although partisans on both sides could benefit. It’s the cost-savings, the greater security of the tally, the better informed decision making of the voters, the increased convenience, and, yes, the broader political participation of the electorate.
People should take a closer look at UVBM elections. They can solve a lot of problems all at the same time.
Again, please read the whole thing.
Can’t agree that making it easier for those that really don’t care is an improvement. I’ve never lived where there wasn’t a poll within walking distance, although I concede they may exist. In the city, a quick call to your alderman’s office will get you a ride. No, people just can’t get their lazy ass out of the easy chair. Handicapped people excepted and as I pointed out any alderman or suburban township supervisor will get you a ride. They want those votes!
I feel the same way about paying people to vote or fining them if they don’t vote.
When I lived with my parents, it wouldn’t be impossible to walk to the polling station, but it would a.) take a long time, b.) be dangerous.
How do you know they don’t care?
And how do you know that those who can’t get their butt out of the Laz-Y-Boy won’t vote for Trump?
Read the part of the article that explains what’s happened in Oregon since they adopted vote by mail.
Once you’ve done that, let’s discuss.
Colorado sends all ballots by mail. You can mail them in or return them to a drive through box on election day. No lines, no hassle.
The best part is taking your time to decide each item on the ballot especially very down ticket races where the only choice may be between two Republicans. Ballot questions always require a bit of research.
It’s the best way ever.
Yes, it was very nice for the 2014 and 2015 elections.
Back in 2012 we still had vote-in-person, although with tons of early voting options (the Democrats have been in charge for a while – had it been the GOP early voting would have no doubt been limited to hours and places convenient to GOP voters, as it is in other states). In 2012 I was a Democratic poll watcher in one of the Colorado Springs precincts that was on the watch list because it was lower-middle-class and had a substantial (40%) minority population. Everything went smoothly and I gave great compliments to the Republican woman who ran the operation – completely fair, completely within the rules, but importantly within the spirit of the rules as well as the letter – her goal was to help people get their votes to count, regardless of party.
Although I was a watcher and thus not supposed to participate I early on was recruited to help those who were registered in a different precinct by explaining their options to them and doing what I could to get them to vote (either provisional at that site or going to the other precinct). The problem was two fold: 1) people often move and don’t get the address updated, and 2) precinct boundaries are redrawn and people go to the old place. It was a lot of work, and as you might imagine disproportionally affected Democrats who are more likely to be renters thus frequent movers. Fortunately, unlike some states Colorado actually counts all of the provisional ballots, which is why the margins of Democratic victory grew as the provisionals were counted.
I mention this because mail-in fixes all of that. You moved? No big deal, you still mail in the same ballot. There will be some problems for issues or candidates who are very local – your vote won’t be counted for those if you moved out of the immediate area and you won’t have the option to vote on those in the new area you are going to. But that’s a small price to pay. By mailing in your ballot with the corrected address you’ll be able to vote for your local area stuff the next time around.
The other thing I remember is how intensely motivated so many of the minorities – especially the Hispanics – were to vote against Republicans. As the Democratic watcher many would talk to me – some asking me how to vote on down ticket items (I would walk with them out of the polling place and tell them there, to comply with the law). Many of them came in at the end of the day after long shifts at work concerned that they might be too late. I mention that because mail-in voting should fix those issues too.
But what mail-in voting didn’t solve, at least in 2014, was disproportionate mid-term turnout favoring the GOP. However, I think it made that more solvable in future elections if the Placebocrats can get their act together and motivate the entire base to vote for the Democratic slate during midterms, instead of leaving it up to the individual candidates.
It’s great out here.
We’ve got permanent absentee ballot in Wisconsin and it’s great; essentially vote by mail, if you want it. You’ve got to go to city hall to register for it, though, to get started. As long as you continue to mail in your ballot every time they send you one, you automatically get one again for the next election. The best thing about it is you get the complete ballot in the mail two or three weeks ahead of election day, so you get the exact set of elections and referendums before voters in your district. Helps to make sure you can research any you’re unfamiliar with ahead of time.
Should it be made available to everyone, automatically? Yes. BYOB polling places should still be open on election day for those that want to drop off their mail-in ballots in person.
OT:
Uh huh
this is the truth
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HERE’S PROOF THAT THE PRESS WON’T LET DONALD TRUMP DESTROY THE REPUBLICAN PARTY
January 11, 2016
There’s a widespread belief that Democrats are likely to win this year’s presidential election no matter what, and that the GOP is utterly doomed if Donald Trump is the nominee. I don’t share that belief — but even if it’s accurate, even if a Trump-Clinton or Trump-Sanders race ends in a Democratic landslide, I can guarantee you that the GOP will recover from the Trump campaign almost instantly.
How? The press will do what it always does when Republicans stumble: It will give the GOP a do-over.
Don’t believe me? Go to Politico today and read about Paul Ryan, who’s positioning himself to be the face of that do-over:
COLUMBIA, S.C. — Paul Ryan talked about the ills of the criminal-justice system. He quizzed GOP presidential hopefuls at a forum here about what they’ve done to help the impoverished and vowed that Republicans, if they put their minds to it, could “make breakthroughs” in the war on poverty.
This is what Ryan wants his Republican Party to look like. But it bears little resemblance to the one on display in the presidential primary, a battle that some senior Republicans say has gotten so coarse that it’s putting their congressional majorities at risk.
So as Ryan tries to reassert the party’s substantive side with a series of policy rollouts in the coming months — a conservative replacement to Obamacare, tax reform, a criminal justice bill — he’s also looking to give the House GOP its own identity.
Hell they corporate bought MSM already did one do over for the GOtP;
After the end of the colossal failure that was the Bush Admin with GOtP controlling congress for most of that time.
They did a very good job of making sure the, hard right approved, tea party astroturf movement got mostly positive publicity
while taking a very public dump on the occupy movement.
Most of what lyin’ ryan’s gonna try to do is publicaly flip flop once again, while in the back rooms push his corporate masters agenda like GOtPers always do.
Two Southern states point in two different directions
01/12/16 08:00 AM
By Steve Benen
When the Affordable Care Act was taking shape several years ago, one of its more popular provisions was the creation of state-based exchange marketplaces. By now, most Americans are probably familiar with the concept: states would create marketplaces for insurers to compete for the public’s business, and consumers could choose the best plan for their needs.
Kentucky, previously a national leader in ACA implementation, embraced the idea with great enthusiasm, creating the Kynect system, which proved to be a great success. Newly elected Gov. Matt Bevin (R), however, is dismantling it anyway. The Louisville Courier-Journal reported yesterday (via Charles Gaba):
Following through on a campaign pledge, Gov. Matt Bevin has notified federal authorities he plans to dismantle kynect, Kentucky’s health insurance exchange created under the Affordable Care Act. […]
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But there’s also an under-appreciated irony to this: Bevin, the far-right Republican governor, is also abandoning the tenets of his own ideology. By scrapping Kynect, the Tea Party Kentuckian is shifting power from his state to Washington, D.C., on purpose, without explanation.
A few states away, in Louisiana, we see a state government pointed in a more constructive direction.
Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) was sworn in yesterday’s as the Pelican State’s new chief executive, and he quickly turned his attention to Medicaid expansion through the ACA. Reuters reported:
Edwards, the first Democrat to hold the office of governor in Louisiana since 2008, said he planned to begin accepting federal funding on Tuesday to expand healthcare to residents through the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare.
“Your tax dollars should not be going to one of the 30 other states that have expanded Medicaid when we are one of the states that expansion will help the most,” Edwards, 49, said during the address.
About an hour after being sworn in, the new Democratic governor published a tweet about his priorities: “Tomorrow I am going to accept the federal funding to expand Medicaid so working families in [Louisiana] can access healthcare.”
It’s a classic elections-have-consequences moment.
As a voter for many years in Washington state, I can testify that voting by mail is easy as pie. As is noted above, you can see everything you’re going to be voting on and have some time to do a little homework before you mark your ballot.
And, as the Al Franken recount in Minnesota showed us, with paper ballots, it’s pretty easy to determine the intent of the voter on almost every ballot. It’s way harder to fudge the election results in a close race.
This is a criminal enterprise, from top to bottom, and all these mofos need to be in handcuffs
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THE RACHEL MADDOW SHOW 1/11/16
Meager progress in Flint toxic water crisis by Michigan’s Snyder
Rachel Maddow reports on local clean water and filter distribution centers in Flint, Michigan running out of supplies already as Governor Rick Snyder is slow to implement an effective relief plan.
This is just a horrifying story. I feel that the MI Governor should be charged with criminal intent to murder citizens (or something along those lines). I confess to not having all the details, but my understanding is that ghoul of a governor (I believe in the pay of the Kochs) knew about the problems of the water supply in OCTOBER.
So, great, just great. It’s like, what?, too “communist” to fix our nations infrastructure bc dreaded horrid poor people might benefit from it. But NOW what? We get to pay for poor sick people? OR will the Governor just shout at them to die quickly and dig their own holes to die in beforehand?
This is just so Wrong on so many levels that it boggles the mind.
Welcome to our new normal as a third world country.
We certainly cannot trust our water supply anymore, and that’s for d*mn sure.
Here’s what’s been happening in my neighborhood:
http://www.sacbee.com/news/local/article54089815.html
Good thing I’ve lived in developing nations and know how to purify my water. I recommend that all citizens start studying up on that bc coming soon to a water supply in your ‘hood: contaminated “drinking” water.
You’re horrified by the idea that Governor Snyder knew about the poisoning of Flint water in October? Well, it’s much worse than that:
http://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/michigan-gov-rick-snyder-mum-what-he-knew-about-flint-n492
266
“I’m frustrated by the water issue in Flint,” Dennis Muchmore, then chief of staff to Snyder, wrote in the email to a top health department staffer in July.
“I really don’t think people are getting the benefit of the doubt. Now they are concerned and rightfully so about the lead level studies they are receiving,” Muchmore said.
“These folks are scared and worried about the health impacts and they are basically getting blown off by us (as a state we’re just not sympathizing with their plight).”
Referencing the email, a reporter asked Snyder: “What did you know and when did you know it?”
After saying the report would provide those answers, Snyder was pressed again, grew testy but refused to provide any specifics.
…
Flint has switched back to Detroit’s water and has started adding phosphates, and about 23,000 water filters have been handed out for free.
However, Snyder and Weaver both sidestepped a question about whether anyone’s health is at risk from the water today.”
Fuck.
That.
Guy.
It’s very easy to vote by mail in California, and voters are encouraged to do so. I signed up for it so long ago that I don’t remember the process to get the ball rolling, but I don’t think it’s difficult.
I don’t get at all the “argument” about “people are too lazy to get off their butts” so they don’t “deserve” to vote in a way that’s easy for them. That makes no sense to me, but JMHO, of course.
CA often has some very deliberately confusingly worded ballot initiatives, and I feel that those are often THE most important things to vote for/on. It is sooo much easier for me to sit at my computer and read a range of information about these ballot initiatives while I vote. I often take as much as three hours to vote. Am I “lazy” because I didn’t get off my butt and go to a polling location? I report, you decide.
It’s also my understanding that it has been more difficult to find poll workers, and I think that this may have resulted (I could be wrong) in less available polling places. Frankly, for me, it was a pain in the butt to get to a polling place, stand in a long line, and then have a list with me to pull a lever correctly for how I really wanted to vote.
I think voting by mail makes a heck of a lot of sense, and it gives citizens an better option to vote in a more educated fashion. If it can be made universal, so much the better.
I believe that it will also result in a process that it is easier to track, if recounts occur. Right now, I certainly do not trust any electronic voting machines, and that’s for d*mn sure.
Thanks for the article.
Kos has been beating the drum for vote by mail for almost a decade. Likely an improvement over current systems.
I get to sit down at my dining-room table with whatever materials I wish to consult about ballot measures and lesser known candidates, mark my ballot, then walk a block to a public library and deposit my ballot at a secure dropbox. That’s how I’ve been voting in Portland, Oregon for years now.
The arguments I’ve seen against vote-by-mail always raise two objections: (1) Fraud. Yet there has been no demonstrated problem with this. (2) Depriving citizens of the supposedly enobling experience of going to a polling station and standing in line to vote. Why anyone thinks this is a big deal is a mystery to me.
If the US did as many other countries, and made election day a holiday, then reverting to using polling stations would be fine. But I don’t see that happening.
IMO, there’s likelihood of less fraud with vote by mail, then with electronic voting devices, which are becoming more prominent at voting polls.
I agree about making election day a holiday and/or holding elections over several days, plus on weekends, to make it easier for people to vote. That is already happening to a certain degree, as we see more nooz footage about long lines at the polls in some places… with the concomitant issue of citizens being denied the right to vote – after waiting hours in line – because the polls close.
It’s no accident that some locales wish to make it difficult for citizens to vote. Hence, that is why some, not all, oppose voting by mail. It’s because it makes citizens lazy. It’s actually more enfranchising.
Here in Washington state we vote by mail or put it in a big drop off box after voting. Since we have a drop off box 2 blocks from us my wife and I fill it out then walk it to the box it is a great way to vote.
The obsession over the possibility of coercion at the dining room table with vote by mail is just bizarre. It’s a zombie lie that won’t die. Every time VBM comes up people fuss over this low probability problem like its something that will sway the election or something. Or maybe its some grand moral outrage that justifies putting up with the much worse problems of in person polling stations.
Is coercion possible? Yes. Does is happen? I’m sure it does.
The number of poor people disenfranchised by the logistical difficulties of getting to a polling place on a Tuesday is probably 100 times greater than the number of people coerced at the dining room table.
The number of people disenfranchised by voter ID laws of likely 1000 times greater than the number of people who commit fraud by getting a hold of ballot not their own and mailing it in.
We can’t fix big problems because the fix might create a small one. An oddity of human cognition.
It’s like people’s to do risk assessment. People get all worked up about low probability novelty risks and ignore the mundane common high probability ones because they live with them every day.