With Labour stuck in what seems like an interminable leadership struggle, the Tories are wasting no time putting together a new order post Brexit. Within days of losing the Brexit referendum, Prime Minister David Cameron is gone, replaced by Theresa May, and she has just sacked more cabinet ministers in a few hours than Cameron did in his 6 years in Office.
George Osborne, Michel Gove, Oliver Letwin, John Whittingdale, Teresa Villiers and Nicky Morgan have all been sacked while devout Christian and leadership candidate, Stephen Crabb, has resigned for sexting a women who is not his wife. Presumably Johnson and Gove cold not have been expected to serve in the same Cabinet after the latter stabbed Johnson in the front…
But it is the early appointments she has made which are the more interesting: She has put three of the top Brexiteers in charge of foreign relations: Boris Johnson as Foreign Secretary, Liam Fox in charge of a new Department for international Trade, and David Davis in charge of the Brexit negotiations themselves. None will appeal to the Europeans. Boris Johnson is hated for his persistent lies, and his appointment has been the subject of much derision worldwide.
It will now be on the Brexiteer’s head if they fail to come up with a good deal, and if they fail to realize all the wonderful opportunities for Trade with the rest of the world which Brexit was supposed to open up. One has to ask whether May is even serious about coming up with any kind of a deal, witness the French response to Boris Johnson’s appointment:
Guardian
In Paris, Johnson has long been seen as an outrageous “French-basher” and bizarre English eccentric, once summed up by Le Monde as “a Monty Python-style politician who appears to avoid taking things seriously”.
His appointment as foreign secretary was met with a degree of appalled surprise from French media and commentators, many of whom had been shocked by what was seen as the intellectual dishonesty of some of Johnson’s comments during the referendum campaign, namely when he likened the EU to a project by Adolf Hitler.
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But he is best known for what has been seen as his relentless “French bashing” and endless quest for hammy punchlines at the expense of France. France bristled when, at the Conservative party conference in 2012, he said he welcomed “talented French people” who wanted to flee François Hollande’s tax rises, adding that France had been “captured by sans culottes” running a tyranny of the like not seen since the French revolution.—-<snip>
Jean Quatremer, Brussels correspondent for the French daily Libération, referred to Johnson’s reputation as a liar by tweeting that his appointment “shows what Britain’s word is worth”.
David Davis may have been put in charge of the actual detailed negotiations, but it seems that Johnson will set the tone of future relations with the EU. I doubt a deal will be done within the two year time frame, and then the UK will be out on their ear without any deal whatsoever. A deal subsequent to the two year Article 50 period is unlikely because that would require unanimity among the EU’s members and could be blocked by Malta, if it so wished. Having derided the EU’s lack of democracy for so long, the UK would then be hoist on the petard of excessive democracy within the EU.
One also has to ask how long this Government can last, what with a majority of only 12 and many bruised egos among the sacked cabinet ministers. Will a failure to secure any kind of favourable Brexit deal provoke a new general election? Will the UK economy decline into persistent recession despite Krugman’s skepticism about the short term negative impact of Brexit? Is the market hysteria over the “uncertainty” bug merely the flip side of the illusive “confidence fairy” he has so oft derided?
Some things are more important than German car exports. The EU was built for the long haul and it’s stability is now in doubt. I suspect the EU will bide it’s time all the while maintaining internal stability by demonstrating the perils of schism. Ultimately I expect Scotland to break free and rejoin the EU, and N. Ireland to melt down – peacefully, I hope. Everybody wins, except the Brits, and perhaps the Irish…
But we are now at the mercy of events. Labour need to get their act together in the UK, and soon. In normal times, the Brexit vote would have been a policy disaster that would have destroyed any government. Right now its seems that the Tories can get away with anything because there is no effective opposition. Who is there to represent the 48% who voted remain and who are increasingly aghast at the more recent turn of events?
Wow. East India Company should be invited back to Africa to fix the mess the indigenous have made of things. And bananas, somehow. https://twitter.com/jacobinmag/status/753596692889411584
Looks as if BoJo made a deal with May. He’d withdraw from the contest for the new PM and let May move into the slot to cool down the emotions left from the Brexit vote and she’d appoint him to a top post. After that, she steps aside for him. He has a seven year age advantage over May and therefore, can bide his time for four years.
Not necessarily. He supported Leadsom in the leadership contest. I think May appointed him more on the principle of: you break it, you own it. No one was more fulsome in his praise of the wonderful opportunities Brexit would unleash. Now he has to deliver on them. Expect lots of talk of “special relationships” and impending trade deals with Azerbaijan etc. He is nothing if not a good marketeer.
… because that would require unanimity among the EU’s members
Not so! Decision by a weighted majority will suffice. See my recent post – EU and Relationship Exited Member. The road for an exit of an EU member has hardly been paved and is very much to the disadvantage of the UK.
Just like David Cameron doodling a little tune as he exits Downing Street 10, I am quite happy with the state of affairs. The Atlantic Unity stops on the western shore of the North Sea. Europe should be a social-democratic economic power with a motivation for peace amongst nations.
The Brits with new PM Theresa May will be about survinal of the Union and doing a seminal task of nrgotiating trade deals across the globe. Perhaps what’s left of the “United” Kingdom will be less motivated to spread war and chaos across the Middle East. Labour is being torn apart at its seams between the Blairites [Chillcot’s Iraq Inquiry] and the Corbites. UK will be doing a lot of soul-searching.
From what I perceive, the Tories have broken with the duo Cameron-Osborne financial and economic policy. BRAVO! That’s a start. To keep Scotland within the Union, May will have to move quickly and commit to the promises made after the referendum for Scottish independence. Tony Blair will be seen historically as a failure because of the Iraq War, so will the EU referendum forever hang around the neck of David Cameron. We would have thought Jeremy Corbyn would outlast Cameron … the same can be said for Syria policy and Assad. What a chaos!
As NATO – EU were concentrated to expand eastwards [Ukraine] towards Moscow, it lost a chunk of land on the Western Frontier … the United Kingdom!
○ Official statements from President of the Republic François Hollande and his leading ministers on Brexit
Previously posted in my diary – Amazing 1st Day Theresa May as UK’s Prime Minister.
Article 50 specifically sates that any extension of the 2 year period (or re-admittance of a lapsed member) requires unanimity on the Council.
… and the new Minister for the Environment (DEFRA Secretary) – You won’t believe it! – Andrea Leadsom, May’s fierce rival for Tory leadership!
My post a few days ago:
○ Leadsom In Pockets of Alec, the Koch Bros
fierce? like wet noodle?
Exactly … a bit of scorn. 😉
Again on the principle of you break it, you own it. It now falls to Leadsom to tell farmers they will lose their CAP payments…