A quick list:
Wisconsin, Marquette (gold standard) Clinton +6
Almost certainly in Clinton’s column
PA: CNN +4, Mommouth +4, Susquehanna +2 (GOP pollster), Quin +5
Closer than ’12, again can’t see Trump winning
AZ: CNN Trump +5,Emerson T +4 not a surprise, slipping away
NV; CNN Trump +6,contradicts some EV reads
FL, CNN Clinton +2, Quin Cl +1obviously a Trump must win.
NC, SUSA, Trump +7, probably an oulier. Quin CL +3
OH, Quin Trump +5
VA, Emerson CL+4, after WAPO yesterday had it +5
And then there is CO: Emerson CL +3
On these numbers the fight is in:
FL
NC
CO
NV
If Trump wins them all he wins, period.
So once again, in a close election the tipping point state is likely to be Colorado.
The battleground has shrunk, mostly to Clinton’s advantage.
I had an old friend for the LGBT wars tell me she knew we were going to win, but how we were winning and the margin was breaking her heart.
And I agree.
