It’s easy to say that it’s too early, eighteen months out, to predict how the 2018 midterms will turn out. It’s harder to admit that it was nearly impossible to correctly predict the outcome of the 2016 presidential election even on Election Day. The Republicans seemingly wounded themselves during the government shutdowns and debt ceiling debates during the Obama presidency, but that didn’t exactly translate to any accountability moments at the ballot box. Quite the opposite, for the most part.
So, yeah, the House Republicans seem to have imperiled their majority, but who can say? I’m not arguing in favor of agnosticism in political punditry, but humility is definitely called for.