The way David Petraeus describes U.S. foreign policy under Donald Trump is hard to quickly summarize. I guess he’s basically saying that the foreign policy establishment, including the key figures in Trump’s cabinet, is like a really sturdy ship with lots of ballast with an excellent crew. While it might be true that the captain is charting an erratic zig-zag course, there’s little danger that the ship will get lost or capsize. In fact, the basic structure and crew is so solid that it’s “immaterial” whether or not the captain is mentally ill because he is incapable of doing any lasting harm.
This is nonsense, of course. Trump is destroying America’s credibility on the world stage, and there is now statistical evidence to support this. Pew Research recently surveyed people in 37 nations, and only the people of Israel and Russia have a better opinion of Trump’s America than they had of Obama’s. In most cases, the drop-off is very large. We’re down 83 points in Sweden, for example, and 75 points in Germany and the Netherlands.
Moreover, not every impulsive, ill-informed, ill-considered decision can be corrected by Trump’s staff and the foreign policy establishment. Petraeus cites a few cases of this happening, like when Trump seemed to waffle on the two-state solution in Israel/Palestine or the One-China policy. Petraeus assured us that the failure to reassure Europe about our commitment to Article 5 of NATO has been rectified and that our Syria policy is ultimately on a sound course. But some decisions can’t be taken back.
What happens when Trump gives an order that commits us to a course of action? And, however wise our foreign policy establishment might be (and recent history calls this premise into serious question), what happens when they don’t agree with each other and a mentally ill person needs to make the final call?
Anyone who says that it’s okay to have a mentally ill captain isn’t a serious person. We’re now faced with making a decision about whether we can wait around until after North Korea has miniaturized their nuclear weapons to the point that they can place them on ICBMs before we respond. Does Trump understand what might be required of our nation if we decide to take preventive military action against Pyongyang. Does he know what will happen to Seoul and perhaps Tokyo? Does he even know what China did the last time we had a conflict on the Korean peninsula or what would be required to prevent a potentially nuclear-armed conflict with them?
Before anyone even thinks of committing us to that kind of risk, they’d have to understand all of it. They’d have to prepare for it. One reason we didn’t win in Korea the last time is because we weren’t ready for it. There are enormous diplomatic and alliance-building tasks that would be involved, and those same types of tasks will be required to settle the matter without war.
We’d also need a leader who had some credibility with the American people and with Congress. Even if Trump is mentally fit in some ways, he doesn’t have what it takes to meet these challenges. Petraeus should know this and I think he does. Why he says otherwise is anybody’s guess, but he’s not helping.
The stakes are far too high here for this kind of screwing around with the truth. People like Petraeus need to stop bullshitting us and themselves and get on board with making sure we’re prepared for what’s coming. We’ll never be prepared as long as Trump is the final decision-maker.
More failure to even understand the problem we face. It’s not Donald Trump or his incapability. He’s not insane, he’s a pathological narcissist. So, we have to get rid of him somehow? Right?
Here’s a question: Is Mike Pence or Paul Ryan better capable of running American foreign policy than Donald Trump? If you answered “yes” then you haven’t been paying attention. Mike Pence was chosen because he’s a right-wing crackpot of the first magnitude. He would never in any normal political climate be given any kind of responsible job at the national level.
Paul Ryan the Granny-starver looks “statesmanlike” by comparison with Trump. But, by any acceptable standard he’s another crackpot extremist.
We have to face the reality that NONE of the senior GOP politicians is at all capable of running the country, with or without expert help. None of them is anything but extremist and very, very stupid.
We shall not have improved at all putting either of these men in charge, and we shall have lost a big target in Trump.
Fortunately, there’s ZERO chance Republicans will cooperate with any effort to remove Trump, which means he will stay in power until January 2021.
So, we can stop the nonsense right now of talking about how “unacceptable” it is to have Trump in charge, and start seizing power back step by step.
In short, Pence is playing up his “mediator” role for the media, spinning himself as a “sensible peacemaker” in international relations in contrast to Trump’s belligerent stupidity. But, he’s secretly sworn loyalty to Trump’s agenda and is acting more of a “good cop” to Trump’s “bad cop”. But, like with the police, it’s all a routine designed to fool the gullible.
I think we established with the case of Paula Broadwell that Petraeus is not a serious person.
I guess he’s trying to get relevance for his Wall Street job, eh.
>>I think we established with the case of Paula Broadwell that Petraeus is not a serious person.
Neither you nor BooMan gets to define who is a serious person. Only their fellow serious persons, in Wall Street or office or the national media, get to define it.
Yeah, I forgot that Catch-22.
>>People like Petraeus need to stop bullshitting us
You can also say that things need to stop falling down rather than up. It will have an equal influence on reality.
Until the people with the constitutional authority to remove Trump decide that they can’t afford him, nothing will happen. And this will be decided for purely political reasons, not because of trivia like national security.
And judging by the track record of this country (and humans in general) there will have to be at least 1 catastrophic mistake for to make them decide that, or perhaps more.
I don’t know who Booman is targeting with this post actually.
>>I don’t know who Booman is targeting with this post actually.
exactly my thought.
It’s not that big of a mystery
.
Sadly, even this analysis doesn’t really get to the depth of the problem. Trump isn’t just crazy, he’s fundamentally incapable of giving a shit. He simply doesn’t understand the concept of “national interest”. There’s “in Trump’s immediate interest” and “not in Trump’s immediate interest”. He simply can’t conceive of any responsibility outside himself. What does he care if North Korea nukes Seattle? Is there a Trump Hotel there? He certainly couldn’t care less if they destroy Seoul or Tokyo, beyond the tepid criticism he might see on Morning Blow.
A stupid commander who was in over head but at least working within the established framework of the national interest would be better than what we have. We’re talking about a moron playing chess being dangerous, but actually the moron is playing tic-tac-toe.
The End.
“There are enormous diplomatic and alliance-building tasks that would be involved, and those same types of tasks will be required to settle the matter without war.”
The State Department is being dismantled, and any career diplomats who might have the skills and relationships for this have been turned out. So, obviously that won’t be the solution…and Trump has made it clear someone else will need to decide what to do while he twitters away…
Petraeus is dirt. A whore. That’s about it.