Almost all the attention that has been paid to Russian interference on the 2016 presidential election has focused on either the hacking (and subsequent release) of Democratic electronic communications or the targeted advertising and front-groups set up on social media. Beyond that, the focus has been on possible coordination of those efforts with members of the Trump campaign or family. It’s been an article of faith that the Russians may have persuaded some people to vote for Trump or not vote for Clinton, but they didn’t physically change any votes or tamper directly with the actual count.
In part, this is because the Intelligence Community has been consistent in saying that they’ve found no evidence that any votes were changed. Yet, they’ve also told us about Russian efforts to gain access to voting databases and the computers of elections officials. In these cases, we’ve been told that at worst the Russians gained the ability to tamper with voter registration rolls, but not to the voting machines or tabulators.
One thing I don’t think people have focused on enough is the matter of intent. At the end of October 2016, the Russians sent out phishing emails purporting to be from VR Systems, a Tallahassee-based vendor that “provided voter registration and poll book software to eight states in 2016.” What were the Russians hoping to accomplish?
The emails included a Word document attachment with malware included that, when downloaded, could give the Russians remote control over the recipients’ computers. The recipients were VR Systems clients. In other words, the recipients were elections officials responsible for the voter rolls.
There were a lot of software problems on election night in the Democratic stronghold of Durham, North Carolina and North Carolina was one of the states serviced by VR Systems. The problems were severe enough that “the state Board of Elections [agreed] to extend voting time in eight Durham County precincts.”
There is, as yet, no public evidence that there’s any connection between the phishing attack on VR Systems and the problems that arose in Durham County. But, assuming the two things are unrelated, what were the Russians thinking of doing if and when they gained control of these computers?
They didn’t make the effort for no reason.
Now, one way to change the result of an election is to change, say, a Clinton vote into a Trump vote, and that could be done without detection and remotely as has been demonstrated repeatedly by hackers serving with white hats. But far easier to do is to prevent people from voting at all, and to do it selectively. You can strike registered Democrats from the voter rolls, or you can just cause software problems that cause long lines in Democratic precincts, causing people to lose patience and go home without casting a ballot. All of these methods can be used, and all of them change the actual tally of votes.
Whether the Russians succeeded in changing voter rolls or introducing software problems or not, it certainly looks like that had the intention of doing so, and that alone should have Congress freaking out and looking for ways to guard against similar attempts in the future.
It’s also something people should focus on a bit more, as it’s likely the Russians had some help in figuring out that a vendor like VR Systems would be a good place to attack.
We know that Putin is an utterly ruthless and even reckless, at times, ruler and so, if he thought he could actually disrupt the polls he would try. He also knows that the GOP has become so authoritarian in ideology and its donors so much like colluding oligarchs that the GOP would not only be reluctant to investigate Russian interference (and we know that this has been the case) but they will do nothing to improve the integrity of the American electoral system as long as they think any sabotage advantages them.
All the more reason for Democrats to take back at least the HOR in November.
I think visualizing the election as having been compromised by “The Russians” (cue sound effects) is somewhat misleading. I think the reality is that the Republican Party has been up to its eyeballs in dirty money and dirty tricks for practically forever, and in election 2016, the Russians showed up bearing buckets of dirty rubles and bags full of exciting new dirty tricks and the Republicans welcomed them into the club with open arms.
Why else would the congresional Republicans try to block inquiries into Russian involvement in 2016 at every turn.
Let’s not forget Facebook et al. also took their fair share of said dirty rubles AND embedded employees in President Stupid’s campaign to make sure it all worked without technical interruption.
So the problem is, sadly, broader than one political party.
So Russians have been sneaking around for years, and in 2016 they got as close as they ever have to causing a ripple in the voting process. And they have inside connections to Americans of various levels of security and influence at their beck and call.
They’ve infiltrated the Internet and spent millions to secure what they want: access to our government innerworkings. They’ve pumped in disinformation, disrupted the last Presidential election and who knows how many others.They are instigating wars in the Middle East and annexing parts of Ukraine. I have a friend in Finland who says Russian troops have been moving closer and closer to their border.
The question then is what can we do? The Republicans are complicit in the whole mess and Trump and his family are mobsters. How do we stop them? If everyone is waiting for the November midterms, how do we keep them from being hacked?
I am running out of things to hang hope upon. Every day this Republican-run nightmare gets worse and no one seems capable of stopping it. I just want it to stop.
Embrace socialism, and blow up the Democratic party.
If you only get to do one, blow up the Democratic party.
When you’re winning elections 70-30. on a platform of worker ownership of the means of production, distribution, and finance, it’s not going to be close enough for the Russians to steal, now is it?
Remember, the social fascist is the true class enemy.
What makes you think, you will win elections 70-30 with a socialist platform? Hasn’t happened anywhere, so far. Hugo Chavez won decisively but still under 60% of the vote.
It’s inevitable.
The dialectic, like Chuck Norris, doesn’t sleep.
It waits.
It’s all in the Grundrisse.
. . . contributions ici sont bien appreciees.
Mais il faut te prevenir que les mots de DXM doivent etre lu a travers d’un filtre <<snark>>.
Jus’ sayin’.
The concept of snark, like racism, sexism, etc. is a mere epiphenomenon of the late-capitalist mode of production-for-profit, and is fated to be swept, together with them, into the dustbin of history.
We don’t need a snark tag, so much as we need a socialist mode of production-for use.
To work towards the revolution is to work towards the end of snark.
Bloggers of the world, unite!
“They’ve pumped in disinformation, disrupted the last Presidential election and who knows how many others.”
True.
“They are instigating wars in the Middle East “
What? Which war would that be? Iraq against Iran? US against Iraq? Rebels against Syria? Saudis against Yemen?
Washington State’s SOS has spoken candidly about how they noticed unsuccessful attempts to hack the voter rolls in 2016. The 7 or so IP addresses that they flagged turned out to be Russians (confirmed by the confidential briefing given to Secretaries of State).
She has since gotten assistance from the IT specialists working for the state’s National Guard, many of whom also work for Microsoft, to beef up the firewall and learn best practices. Also, she says her office has received $8 million from the Federal Government to improve election security.
I suggest others pay attention to what is being done in their own States to see if similar steps can be taken there. It might be surprising to learn that States are taking this threat very seriously.
Hell, never mind Russians. I’d lay odds that republicans have monkeyed with voting algorithms and/or paid off the vendors to do same. The right wing is no longer acting in good faith and hasn’t been for some time.
The book Russian Roulette sets out just how determined the Russians were and continue to be to hack voter rolls, think tanks, the WH, our grids and basically all things American.
The money quote is ‘It was like hand-to-hand combat, they didn’t care if we knew it was them or how noisey they were, they just kept coming at us’, describing the attacks starting in ’15.
So far there have been zero meaningful consequences for their actions, so why would they stop now.
. . . and seizure of a Russian compound/facility iirc . . .
all of which Trump either has undone or would have if he thought he could get away with it.