It makes sense that lawyers for Bob Mueller’s special counsel’s office do not want anyone with strong opinions about Ukrainian politics to be serving on Paul Manafort’s jury. Those with a pro-Russia bent might see Manafort as a hero of sorts. On the other hand, I don’t think Manafort would want the more typical anti-Russian Ukrainian attitude to be present in the jury box, so this restriction should benefit both sides.
Meanwhile, Manafort’s last realistic hope of beating the charges against him ended in court today when his lawyers’ effort to suppress evidence seized from his storage locker failed:
A federal judge in Washington, DC, on Thursday denied Paul Manafort’s challenge to the seizure of evidence from his storage unit, finding that agents were allowed to look inside the storage unit before they got a search warrant because they had permission from a person on the lease.
Manafort is pursuing motions to suppress evidence taken from the storage unit and his home in Virginia in both of the criminal cases brought against him by special counsel Robert Mueller’s office — one in DC and one in Alexandria, Virginia. This is the first ruling on the suppression motions; the judge in Virginia is scheduled to hear arguments later this month.
US District Judge Amy Berman Jackson wrote that the initial search of the unit by FBI agents before they got a search warrant — and before they opened boxes or actually took evidence — was lawful because the agents got consent from a person listed as a lessee for the unit; that individual had been an employee of Manafort. Even if the initial search was unlawful, Jackson wrote, the seizure of evidence later on was still lawful because a judge granted the search warrant based on an affidavit that laid out why investigators believed Manafort was engaged in criminal activity.
The judge also rejected Manafort’s arguments that the search warrant was too broad, finding that it instructed agents to look for evidence that directly related to the alleged criminal activity described in the search warrant affidavit to the judge.
Since Manafort is already sitting in prison and no longer has any reasonable prospect of getting out in this lifetime, some decisions can no longer be put off. He could hold out for a pardon from the president, but that’s risky for three reasons. The first is that even if a pardon eventually comes, it won’t compensate him for all the legal fees that are bankrupting him and his family or keep him safe in prison in the meantime. The second is that the pardon may never come. And the third is that he’s still potentially vulnerable to state charges that a pardon would not impact.
A better bet is surely to start negotiating with the special counsel’s office to see what kind of reduction in sentencing he can get in return for his cooperation. This would save him money and it would mean that he’d have a decent prospect of being a free man again one day before he dies. We could also avail himself of the witness protection program if he’s concerned about his safety or the safety of his family. It’s definitely the rational course for him to take now that it’s clear that the prosecutors will be allowed to present their evidence.
But he could hold out hope for a pardon and that the state charges will never materialize.
I don’t think it will be much longer before we learn of his decision.
>”I don’t think it will be much longer before we learn of his decision.”
I frikkin hope so. This is getting more painful than waiting for The Winds of Winter to come out. Here’s my wish list:
Flips: Manafort, Cohen, Hicks
Indictments: Stone, Prince, Kushner, Junior
Dream list: Ivanka, Sessions, Giuliani, Nunes, Page, Bannon, Parscale, Hannity, Pence
What makes me so nervous is that Christie skated on Bridgegate and Cheney/Rove on Plamegate.
“What makes me so nervous is that Christie skated on Bridgegate and Cheney/Rove on Plamegate.”
True, but in neither case were any of them facing eons of time, like Manafort, Gates and potentially others are.
. . . to suppress self-incriminating evidence when ya listed your flunky on the lease, Paulie!
[takes long quaff from cup of schadenfreude . . . savors . . . smacks lips]
Of all the players in this drama, I get the sense that Manafort is the American most likely to end up drinking polonium tea.
Anyone that has been identified as someone he worked for or with no longer drinks tea or touches door handles.
These guys always think that it’ll never happen to them because of Covered Trails, Friends in Power, Friends with $$$, Knows where Bodies are Buried, and a dozen other arguments.
As I’ve said before, the view from the inside is different. And when your world of cards comes crashing down around your feet … you go off the rails. Measured, timely thought is not happening. Advice from “friends” and “advisors” who were friends and advisors BEFORE you got into this shit … don’t hack it anymore.
I hope I see a flip coming. We’ll see.
They get away with shit for so long. They think they’re made out of moonbeams and unicorn farts. Problems disappear and that’s how the universe works.
They never had to worry about being careful.
. . . really imagined Trump would “win”, thereby inviting Mueller up all their colons far beyond sphincters with a fine-toothed comb (yeah, mixed metaphor, but you get the idea).
I’ve always had a hunch that Manafort is more of an ideologue than a grifter — tho’ some of both.
The issue discussed in the first graf is only the mite on the worm in the birdsh1t on the tip of the iceberg of the kinds of jury selection problems that are going to bedevil all of the forthcoming trials — insofar as the cases are not settled.
What makes you think he’s an ideologue?
Consider this…Manafort is not a patriot. If you can accept that statement, there is no need to further explain his motivations. Leave the excuses to Manafort to verbalize.
Manafort is NOT an ideologue. He’s just a guy with expensive tastes.
A pardon will not let him off the hook with Derapaska and his lawsuit claiming tens of millions owed nor will it insulate him from Ukrainian or Russian retaliation that resent the legal exposure he has brought down upon them.
Come to think of it, the fact that he chose to represent the baddest of the bad as well as ripped them off probably means there’s people round the world that are ready to disembowel him. Will Mueller’s team share with Interpol and more?
I read awhile back that NY was trying to pass legislation to make is so State charges could be filed against people with pardons. Did that ever pan out?
Looks to me like that just faded away. Least I can’t find any updates …
Think the current AG has found a work around. Civil suits. She will go after what ever money is left and maybe some that he thinks he has hidden from Mueller.
What about people who are pardoned but never tried? Does Double Jeopardy attach then?
Lots of misconceptions about double jeopardy. Stripped down: You can’t be charged with the same crime twice if the government has placed you
“in jeopardy” previously. Furthermore, while you can be charged with a lessor crime on the same evidence, you can’t be punished for BOTH crimes.
According to Supreme Court case law, Double Jeopardy is in play upon the jury being sworn in, or giving the oath to the first witness in the case of no jury.
Note that while civil property forfeiture (such as seizure of assets during the commission of a crime) does NOT qualify as a “punishment”, if the defendant has been “punished” (by fines or what not) in civil actions, double jeopardy might apply to the criminal case.
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Many thanks.
Thank you for this.
. . . predicted?
Eh, Argentina backed into the tournament. Weak in the middle and defense. Croatia is solid with one of the best the best midfielders in the world.
. . . made similar points along the lines of “Messi, sure, but then what?”
Weak defense sure displayed in that match (or at least highlights I watched, which of course included all 3 goals, which of course included none by Messi or Argentina).
Suppose Manafort actually has very little on Trump or on the campaign, that he might only be able to confirm things that the investigators already know.
They likely have him on many crimes, many of the indictments appear to be valid, HE may have colluded with Russian government folks to benefit Trump, but…..there’s nothing he can say that advances the investigation upward.
That would mean he’s truly and thoroughly screwed, without anything that would even interest Mueller probe.
If I were Manafort’s jailers, I’d have him on suicide watch. Seems to me he’s already spoiled toast, and he knows it.
. . . Mueller would bargain cuz he’d want further corroboration of the evidence he already has, cuz further corroboration strengthens the case.
But whadoiknow?
Why omit the consideration of threats of physical violence against him or his loved ones? No amount o f jail time will cause him to risk that if he thinks the threats are potentially credible…
I don’t agree with Booman’s rationale here. Maybe 2 million for lawyers; that’s chump change that could be had from the Mercers/Koches/Trump’s (take your pick) slush fund.
That along with a pardon, which I have every reason to believe will be forthcoming is what Manafort is banking on and will indeed do.