With all due respect to my dear friend Chris Bowers (may your broken arm heal quickly), I do not believe he understands the true nature of the criticism OpenLeft receives for their negativism towards Barack Obama. Bowers keeps writing posts about that criticism and continues to use the same defenses against that criticism. But it is all wildly off the mark.
The critique of OpenLeft isn’t that they are negative, but that they are using the wrong analytical frameworks and, thus, are coming to the wrong conclusions. It’s hard to generalize about a blog that has several different front-pagers with different worldviews, but if there is a commonality to OpenLeft it is a tendency to focus like a laser on the spoken or written word. I don’t want to characterize or reduce their analysis to liberal orthodoxy, but that is the lens thru which almost all OpenLeft’s analysis is done. Articles and transcripts are parsed, and wherever something is found that clashes with liberal orthodoxy, the result is an angry, concerned, or panicky post that seeks to explain why the deviation is a major threat or huge warning sign.
This is the wrong analytical framework for the times, although that might seem counterintuitive considering Barack Obama’s unique oratorical skills. But Obama’s unique genius is precisely his ability to use language to inspire a generation of supporters and disarm would-be opponents. The meaning of Obama’s words is not found in their literal meaning, but in the ways those words are received by their intended audiences. When Obama speaks to a right-leaning editorial board about his admiration for Ronald Reagan’s transformative presidency, he isn’t signaling that he wants to emulate Reagan’s policies. When he talks to the Washington Post editorial board about the importance of entitlement reform he is recognizing the Post’s interest and concern about the issue and showing them respect, not signaling that he will privatize Social Security. When he tells the Blue Dogs that they will be invited to hold a conference on fiscal responsibility, he’s telling them that they are an important part of the party and the conversation, not suggesting that he will suddenly adopt Pay-Go principles. When Obama says something gracious about George W. Bush he is keeping the Republicans from gaining some new rallying point, not telling us that he thinks Bush is truly a good man.
Obama uses language to unite people and to disarm them. If he occasionally says something true but harsh, he quickly apologizes. More often, he gives his ideological opponents the rhetorical benefit of the doubt. He shows people and their ideas respect…often more respect than they deserve. He studiously avoids creating lightning rods that can serve as oppositional organizing points. He reaches out to evangelicals, to the Republican leadership, to conservative commentators, to right-wing Democrats.
In the process of doing these things, he inevitably neglects to pander to those whom he most agrees with. Progressive criticism strengthens Obama precisely because it makes him look more centrist. He has succeeded in staking out the broadest middle we’ve seen in memory. He hasn’t changed any of his commitments (at least, not in any fundamental way) that he campaigned on, but he has blunted all criticism from the center and the center-right. This was the goal all along. Some call it moving the Overton Window. What was once considered radical (e.g., revisiting national health care, allowing gays to serve openly in the military) is now considered acceptable. Now we argue about the timing, not the substance.
The conditions in the country are dictating a leftward movement in the Overton Window, but the old opponents are still there opposing us. The goal is to rally the supporters and to disorganize and disarm the opposition. The goal of Obama’s rhetoric is not primarily to convince people of the merits of his policies, but to build support for them and weaken any obstacles to their implementation.
This is a style of governance that is suitable to the power structure in Washington that currently skews heavily in the Democrats’ direction. Where Bill Clinton faced a divided Democratic Party and a powerful Republican opposition, Barack Obama faces a largely united Democratic Party and a weak and confused Republican opposition. Obama’s primary goal is to avoid providing the Republicans any ideological rallying point around which they can reconstitute themselves. He can afford to be incredibly magnanimous without undermining his position of strength.
Over the last two decades of Democratic ideological weakness, the intellectual left has developed a theory that their policies are actually popular but do not carry the day because they are not framed correctly. The idea is that it is immensely important to never reinforce your opponent’s way of framing the issues. For advocates of this view, Obama’s proclivity for rhetorical generosity isn’t just worrisome, it’s dangerous. They are convinced above all that is it bad strategy. But they’re also half-convinced that it’s bad faith. Politicians, after all, should say what they mean. And they should say it in the most efficient framework.
Obama doesn’t believe this. He knows the power of words better than any politician we’ve seen since Reagan, but he doesn’t use words the way that George Lakoff would advocate. Obama uses words to inspire and disarm, but he uses organization to change the power of his arguments. Obama didn’t win a single primary because his message on health care or education was framed better than Hillary Clinton’s. He won because he organized better than Clinton did. And that is how he will seek to win support for his policies in Washington.
Obama uses rhetoric to make people feel comfortable with his leadership and judgment, and he uses organization to win his battles. But OpenLeft has been analyzing Obama’s actions almost exclusively by looking at his words alone. They look at his words, but they miss their purpose, if not always their meaning. There is a whole level of meaning in Obama’s words that transcends literalism without exactly being contradictory.
What Obama has done with his words, he has extended to his appointments. He used his appointments to disarm his opponents and would-be opponents. He brought the Clinton faction inside. He brought the moderate Republicans inside. He brought the labor unions inside. He brought Wall Street inside. Obama now has the trust and support of all but the far left and the far right, and that is about as much support as anyone can hope to have as they start their administration.
The critique of OpenLeft hasn’t been that they are wrong to advocate for progressive policies and appointments, or to be vigilant about seeing that Obama keep his promises. The critique certainly isn’t that they should shed their honesty in favor of support. The critique is that the negativity is based on bad analysis and a lack of understanding of how Obama wields and builds political power.
Booman,
My compliments, that is a very enlightened blog post. Like the folks at Open Left, I’ve struggled with the extent to which Obama defers to his enemies, but I think he’s playing the game on a level that is going to take us awhile to understand.
If I was in his shoes, I’d be inclined to have every Republican hung upside down from the nearest lamp post and let the buzzards feast on their entrails. I would never have sat down to dinner with George Will and Bill Kristol and Charles Krauthammer, because I think they are stupid and irrelevant. But I’ll concede that approach wouldn’t allow for much progress on the legislative front, and would only agrgravate the ideological divide. Obama is unique in that he doesn’t seem to have any bloodlust, any desire for revenge and retribution. He’s got the Gandhi/MLK thing happening…
tendency to the gloom here.
Nice to know Obama walks on water without sinking. After using the progressives’ manpower to get elected, What did progressives receive?
A token worthy of a used kleenex.
Wake up. Obama is a fraud.
Obama is happy in Conservative skin…and we’ll soon see how quickly that inclusive action to disarm opponents disintegrates into chaos.
Sure bet: Obama will either be a great failure or a great president who walks on water.
Not quite as gloomy as idredit here, but the economic realities will soon have us struggling just to stay afloat as a country.
All the framing, all the eloquent oratory, all the Overton Window movement in the world isn’t going to help much when the U6 rate tops 20% or more.
I’m waiting for the Village to latch on to their new favorite term for the year 2009: “austerity measures”.
Last time I looked no one has “received” anything. I can be as cynical as they come but damn, the guy hasn’t even taken the oath yet and he’s already a fraud??
So he’ll either be a “great failure” or “walk on water”? I think your crystal ball might need a little calibration. It seems to be swinging a little wildly between extremes.
I don’t know if you’ve ever looked at Sadly, No, but there’s a troll there who is fond of referring to Obama as “The Teflon wonder,” and gleefully pointing out every point on which he seems like he may have diverged from liberal orthodoxy. It’s positively bizarre, for a couple of reasons: 1) Obama hasn’t had a chance to, like, do anything yet; 2) the guy trolling was a huge McCain supporter, so it’s not as if he could have reasonably suggested we vote for his guy instead. (Maybe if he’d been pushing Kucinich…)
There seems to be no shortage of people like that right now. And I’m not talking about people who supported McCain. These people say they are Democrats. Hey, Obama disappointed me with his FISA move and some of his rhetoric during the campaign was troubling to a lot of us Democrats. But you’re right. Until we have a chance to judge him on actual results, then all this weeping, wailing and gnashing of teeth is just an empty exercise.
For God’s sake, many of us, myself included, were even willing to give George Bush some benefit of the doubt in the very beginning until we were able to judge him by his real-world actions. It just amazes me that some self-proclaimed Democrats can’t bring themselves to do that with A DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT!
It is just amazing.
The Internets are a great thing, but they do enable a whole lot of micro-managing by armchair experts. I’m going to give Obama a chance. This is such a fucked-up country that he only beat McCain-Palin by 6%, so expecting a progressive revolution anytime soon is pretty unrealistic.
which, in recent history, is a major landslide. Especially impressive for an African-American named Barack Hussein Obama.
And his approval ratings hover above 70% right now. So progressive leadership is looking pretty good to America right now.
I think you are mischaracterizing the criticism. I see more criticism of his administration cabinet choices and his public commitments, than his words
I think openleft is simply working the refs, and that the establishment has the luxury of not doing this in public because they are Washington Insiders. But they are doing it too.
OpenLeft’s criticism in this vein date to prior to the first caucus.
Here’s one early paradigmatic example.
I don’t see a problem. It is possible he lost because of the proreagan remarks.
No. It’s not possible. And the more important point is to look at the conclusion:
This is first of all a classic case of projection, where Stoller feels that thousands of hotel maids that supported Hillary actually were swayed against Obama at the last minute by a minor news report of little practical importance to their lives.
But even supposing there were an iota of validity to his point, Stoller is expressing the view that Obama’s words signaled that he wasn’t interested in opposing segregationists. Why? Because he took his words literally and took no cognizance of the intended audience.
Stoller especially, and Bowers and Sirota and Paul as well, have a way of flipping out over the most minor and innocent of utterances.
Say anything nice about any Republican, show any flexibility on the timing of certain legislation, appoint an attorney general who once worked at a first that had Chiquita bananas as a client (no, not joking, Sirota flipped out over this) and the OpenLeft crew will solemnly declare that this is yet another sobering lesson for the delusional liberals who still think Obama is on our side.
I like their advocacy for progressive policies, we need that, but sometimes their negativity is cartoonish and even childish.
what an unlikely typo
openleft isn’t for everyone. Partisans will probably be happier at Kos, and Obamacans will probably be happier here.
Progressive first Partisan second democrats will by happier at Openleft.
I would personally love a progressive direct action blog, but it hasn’t materialized yet, so I like openleft.
It sounds like your projecting a bit too, if you say it is not possible. My theory is he lost because Nevada is has more establishmentarian demographics and more prowar democrats.
It hasn’t hurt stollers ratings at all. He attracts a pretty big audience to openleft.
I think the problem is that openlefties aren’t partisan progressives. They are movement progressives. I don’t think they’re “far left” as you say. I think they are just not all that focused on Obama in particular.
Obama has shown many signs of drifting toward the neoliberal side of the party, and openleft represents opposition to neoliberalism.
Talking about hwo prognosticates the best regarding Obama’s coming actions, his successes and failures?
Hmmmm…
Will his words be enough? Will they move the country to positive action up and down the scale of power?
Will his actions speak louder than his words? If he pursues conservative policies internationally and in terms of business regulation…and the people that he has chosen to manage those areas of the administration are indeed quite conservative in most respects; they represent the left wing of the right wing, at best…if he pursues those sorts of actions while continuing to talk about hope and change, how long will it take for the American people to get restive? How many defeats, how many collapses can he weather if he does this?
How can we predict? From which words and which actions are we to choose?
He talks a good game.
No, make that a great game.
And he…or more precisely the managers who he choose and at least in some part directred in his executive position during the campaign…played a very good gane in the only executive position in which we can judge his talents.
But the U.S. of A. is a whole ‘nother kettle of fish.
A bigger kettle, by far, and infinitely more complicated.
We shall see.
Meanwhile, all of this “I’m a better predictor then he is!!!”, “No you’re not. I am!!!” is just empty talk.
Relax.
We’ll have an idea about how well his game works in the BIG show soon enough.
We’ll know by September.
Watch.
Relax and watch.
You have no say in the matter, so lay back and hope for the best.
See ya in September…
AG
Politics is a process whereby you define your objectives, mobilise your supporters, and disarm your opponents as much as you can. It doesn’t really matter much what you say provided you achieve your objectives and retain intact the coalition which brought you into power in the first place.
If Obama can achieve a quicker less politically damaging withdrawal from Iraq, then keeping Gates in power for a while is a small price to pay. If he can stabilise the economy, then ditto with Geithner. If he can unify the Democrats, Hillary is as good a choice for State as anybody else. If he can create a broad consensus for his policies, a little indigestion with Krauthammer et al matters not a jot.
The problem is that this process risks taking his natural supporters for granted – although it is an open question whether Open Left could ever be considered his natural supporters. It doesn’t matter what Obama does, someone has to oppose him from the left, if only to make him look centrist by comparison. It’s a plus for Obama if the liberal blogosphere is up in arms. It reassures the establishment that Obama is not a far out radical.
But the bottom line will be: what does he actually achieve with all this politicking. If it turns out that his policies were far too timid to turn the economy around, if the poor continue to get poorer, and if the US is still embroiled in unending wars in 4 years time, we will know that he has failed.
So all this politicking – at which Obama is a Master -is only a means to an end, and the question is whether it is the most effective way of achieving Obama’s stated objectives. Sometimes truly crisis circumstances require truly radical measures and it is unrealistic to think you can expect the ancien regime to support such measures – e.g. the Nationalisation of Major US banks.
But what happens if – bail-out after bailout – the banks are still not lending to the real economy but simply shoring up their balance sheets and feathering their own nests? Then it will become clear that Obama should have nationalised the banks before giving them any money and ensured that the policies they pursued favoured more positive pro-business activity.
If Obama fails, no one is going to remember that almost everyone signed up to his plans and proposals. Success has a thousand fathers, and defeat is an orphan. Thus, ultimately Obama will be judged by the success of his policies, and not by his skill in getting a broad consensus behind them.
My sense is that the bipartisan approach will fall away soon enough and circumstances will force Obama to pursue policies in the teeth of Republican opposition. At least then he will be able to claim that he sought to adopt a post-partisan approach, and it is the partisans who fell away from the high road he had chosen.
He will get the benefit of the doubt from a far wider range of the electorate for far longer for adopting this approach. So far he hasn’t betrayed any fundamental principles in being conciliatory towards his foes. They are waiting in the long grass just looking for a chance to attack. They will get it soon enough. In the meantime Obama has been able to demonstrate that he has the interests of all Americans at heart – and it is they who will be perceived as the partisans.
There is simply nothing to be gained from his shooting from the hip at favoured conservative targets right now, so why should he bother? He IS in power. He CAN set the agenda without attacking anyone. He can DO a whole bunch of things whilst his honeymoon continues, and he will be able to do a whole lot more for a long time provided he can continue to co-opt a few Republicans in the Senate.
Patience guys. Rome wasn’t built in a day.
Interesting post, BooMan. I don’t usually spend much time there and can’t speak to such goings on. As to Obama, let him take office and have time within which he might actually accomplish something.
Don’t blame Leftist ideology for the failure of Centrist Liberalism to excite anyone.
First off, there is no organized Left in America that has the power to constrain the Obama administration in any way whatsoever. A criticism of Obama from the Left doesn’t even penetrate mainstream media. That means that this article is attacking a phantom, an ideological caricature.
Second, everyone’s going to go home and go back to work because that’s the only path available to them. There was zero, literally zero, effort to organize the people who worked on the campaign – who supported the campaign with their sweat and dollars – into a real expression of democratic will, a real political power beyond the stage play of electoral politics. Aside from a minuscule number of positions in the government, there’s nothing left for the liberal to do. Whose fault is that? Some phantom, marginalized, militant American Left? Some snarky commenters on internet message boards? No, it’s the normal run of capitalist liberal democracy.
Finally, if you take equality and freedom as your axioms, as the very principles of your worldview, you reject the world as it is and its absolute injustice. Leftists have, correctly, located the source of that injustice in our managed two-party system of capitalist liberal democracy. If you have an argument to refute that I’d love to hear it.
Why must “the left” refrain from the harshest of criticism? Haven’t the Democrats had a majority in congress for two years? Haven’t they had the power of the purse? Hasn’t President Bush been unpopular for that time? Haven’t we seen an escalation of war and a policies of complete disdain for ordinary working people while speculative capitalists are given every concession?
Why must I even wait until Obama gets into office? He’s proposing his government’s ideas and it’s our right to criticize them. When he starts implementing them I’ll criticize his government’s implementation. In the meantime I’m trying to survive the recession.
Obama is a corporate neoliberal, not a “progressive”, which is the new word for “liberal”, whatever that means…
Every single one of his economic appointments is a dedicated corporate neoliberal.
Under the neoliberal system, international corporations make the decisions and governments implement them. It’s a fundamentally antidemocratic agenda that only benefits entrenched corporate interests, who have no real interest in environmental protections, social justice, fair labor laws, or anything like that – they just want to maximize profits, period.
So far, all indications are that Obama fits the mold – just another Carter, in other words. If he keeps this up, his administration will be a total failure. It’s easy to view the economic picks as a repudiation of the entire campaign, isn’t it?
“Change we can believe in!”
“Yes, that DOES mean Larry Summers!”
Just say it with confidence and authority, right?
I thought I was clear that this was a failure of analysis, not a failure to cheerlead.
Heh, now let’s see if Bowers engages with what you wrote or ignores it. Maybe ignore ‘cuz he’s off to DC.
Assuming you are right, the problem here is POST Obama. Not many people have his skill or gifts and it remains to be seen if his organizing abilities are unique to him alone, or whether they can be made systematic. The first test(and first failure) was Georgia senate race. But that was a long shot and there wasn’t that much time to prepare for it, plus it’s a single instance. I guess we’ll have to see in the future.
To date…I’d pretty much been in the OpenLeft camp, following Obama’s speeches with some concern, as (as you so clearly stated) those words suggested he was ‘giving ground’ to the Opposition.
Thanks for reminding me that Obama has separated (to some extent) Word from Deed, and that I should be watching what his organization DOES as compared (or opposed) to what I’m hearing at a particular moment in time.
“Always listen to Experts–they’ll tell you what can’t be done, and why. then go out and do it.”
Obama uses words to inspire and disarm, but he uses organization to change the power of his arguments.
Newt Gingrich said he was going to study Obama.
I’m bending over backwards to cut the man his slack, just like I opened my wallet. I gave Obama more $$ than any other politician ever, and far earlier. But I’m beginning to think he’s got a problem with teh gay.
Yesterday, Gene Robinson wasn’t included in the HBO feed. Okay, mistakes happen. And his mike didn’t work so no one could hear him — oops. And no one on HBO mentioned that all those guys in red ties were the D.C. Gay Mens Chorus, and they were the only performers to be omitted from the program. If I wanted gays to vanish from this celebration, I’d have arranged for all of those coincidences, too.
It’s one thing avoid controversy. It’s something else to cut us out when we already think there might be a problem. Obama leaves nothing to chance.
I’m very reluctant to post this, because on so many levels I’m happy for America. But I’d like to be cheering from inside the party, knowing that I’m welcome to be here.
link
I’ll betcha $10 that Rick Warren’s microphone works tomorrow.
(Allow me to say that I love your site and your insights. I emailed your “Obama will roll..” post to quite a few friends.)
Well, thank you.
I don’t know if there was some concerted effort to hide Robinson or not. But they are going to try to remedy the situation and I thought you should know that.
I stopped commenting on openleft when they decided not to be too open. Not toward me, but Matt got way too carried away one day demanding that everyone have the right “tone” toward David and I figured I could read their narratives and comments without participating. I agree with you in general on their analytical shortcomings and inability to see that there are more ways than one to skin a cat.
It is the job of thinking people not to be on the side of the executioners — Albert Camus