This is the estimate from key precincts which was very accurate in the first round.

http://www.france24.com/fr/20170507-france-live-presidentielle-direct-second-tour-macron-le-pen-elec
tion-elysee?ref=tw_i

Turnout was down, and the polls understated Macron’s final margin.

The UK polls show a blowout for the Tories, though there is a pretty big spread in the margin. Part of the reason is the collapse of the UK IP Party, for obvious reasons.

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