For those worried about a Trump presidency, how much risk can there be when Latinos are buying pinatas?
http://www.koat.com/news/donald-trump-el-chapo-piatas-a-popular-item-in-nm/38263030
Clearly he has an appeal among Republican voters. I don’t believe he’s limited to 35% of their voters as Rubio or Cruz would ask us to believe. I think a good solid 75% or more (of Republicans) will get behind him. But a significant contingent will not. Movement conservatives may sit it out or launch an alternative, and suburban and Wall Street voters may hold their nose and vote for him or stay home or perhaps maybe even pull the lever for Hillary.
So the question becomes whether Trump could appeal to enough Independents and enough disheartened Democrats might stay home to give Trump a path to narrow victory. For what it’s worth, I find the notion that Sanders voters are going to migrate to Trump ludicrous. I could see some not bothering to vote. But voting for someone that racist and misogynistic seems beyond the pale.
My view is what’s most likely is a Clinton landslide. Independents will not be attracted to his hateful rantings. Even if he tries to tack left, what he’s said is on the record and the commercials just write themselves. Latinos will break sharply against him. The existence of Trump pinatas confirms that impression. Women will overwhelmingly vote against him too. Our country has issues but we’re not the kind of place where someone like Trump can carry a national election.
