Scott Ritter says June. I say when the Michael Jackson trial ends. Regardless of who’s right on that one (or maybe we both are, Jackson prosecution will reportedly close next week) it is clear that Washington has already begun the process of expanding the crusade theatre to include Iran.
Iran is about 3 times the size of Iraq, with about 3 times the population. It also has an air force, and has not been operating under starvation sanctions for the past dozen years.
The US has been conducting various “operations” in Iran for decades.
Its population, while divided on most questions of domestic politics, are unified in their lack of enthusiasm for being invaded by the hordes of torturers and sexual predators that currently hold the position of American goodwill ambassador and spreader of, among other things, the US version of “democracy.”
In a previous diary, I included a poll on the question of just how Washington planned to staff this ambitious project – remember the US is also currently occupying Afghanistan, Iraq, and to a lesser extent, Pakistan and the Philippines, as well as maintaining a healthy gaggle of gunmen in Korea and in Europe.
The US has stripped the shelves of commercial gunmen, and in order to secure significant numbers of expendables from any other country, it is currently in a rather awkward position. It would effectively have to invade and occupy, say, France or Germany in order to secure its German or French assets to deploy in Iran, thereby requiring even more expendables.
Yet, the stage is set, and the sets are being rolled out.
Like the follow-up hit of a mediocre pop band, the DC warlords are strumming out the same old riffs, Iranian “exiles,” clambering over each other like eager little puppies, yipping about “weapons.” (It is a given in the mind of the American public that the privilege of self-defense and possession of weapons therefor, can be granted only by the US, by divine right.)
There are the poor deluded rentaKurds, obediently scampering around Iran as their cousins were doing in Iraq back in the winter of ’02, clinging to the foolish hope that Uncle Sam will really come through with the sweets this time.
There is the ritual banning of pitiful declawed Al Jazeera, just in case it has any reporters with more integrity than attachment to life and limb yet, the routine joint “military exercises” with Israel, Rummy in Azerbaijan, lining up his bases, his ducks, did he stop in Tashkent for a snuggle with Karimov to line up some boiling vats, too? The Uzbek press is understandably reticent on this and all other subjects.
So how do they intend to pull this off? It is unlikely, and possibly logistically impossible, to repeat the Iraq modality exactly.
More probable: the classic and timeless Mission Creep. As the twitching fingers of a besotted youth inch downward from the shoulder of his blushing dance partner sneak stealthily toward their plum, inviting goal, so will the “consultants,” the “exiles,” the “special forces,” and of course, the hapless Kurds, tiptoe gently onto the sand and stone of Darius’ old stamping ground. Yes, Iran is not without a little knowledge of empire itself…
That still leaves the question of staffing. While “nuke em all” may be popular with the American public, it will be less so with American corporate executives, for obvious reasons.
How quickly can the US implement a program of impressment of sufficient rigor to provide the large numbers of expendables needed? Not quickly enough, and the top gunmen don’t want it. Hard enough to operate a crusade, they say, without having to operate it using battalions of unwilling, hostile youths who are thrust into the theatre without the necessary “training.”
The ace in the hole has always been the Indian army, but no matter what the honorarium, this could create some unintended domestic consequences for India, a country with a sizeable Muslim population, few of whom support US foreign policies.
There is always the option of a second Unity Operation, but my speculation is that opinion on this is divided even within the warlords’ lair.
What do you think?