The way Joe Lieberman is talking, he’s not leaving himself any room to support the Senate bill if it includes a public option. He’s locking himself in as an opponent.

WALLACE: So at this point, I take it, you’re a “no” vote in the Senate?

LIEBERMAN: If the public option plan is in there, as a matter of conscience, I will not allow this bill to come to a final vote because I believe debt can break America and send us into a recession that’s worse than the one we’re fighting our way out of today. I don’t want to do that to our children and grandchildren.

Never mind that it is the provision of a public option that makes the Senate bill save more money in the budget than it costs. If Lieberman doesn’t change his mind, and Olympia Snowe doesn’t change her mind, then there will be no public option. In fact, the Senate bill simply won’t pass. Reid will have to withdraw the bill and introduce Snowe’s trigger as the base bill, or he will have to give up entirely and go to reconciliation. But I am not sure anymore that the House can pass a bill in reconciliation. I am not sure that they can pass a bill with a trigger, either.

It’s still a toss-up whether health care reform can actually pass in any form.

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