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    Agreed.  You only need to remember folks on the Daily Kos in 2004 repeatedly saying that the polls were systematically…
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  • I really think that Dems should dispense with the "voting machines are fixed" rhetoric, especially when there's no direct evidence…
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  • That sounds good in theory, but it's hard for Republicans to reach out to Hispanics (conservative or otherwise), when the…
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  • Yeah.  Nate Silver's analysis on this is pretty persuasive. I recall people making the arguments in 2004 that not calling…
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  • Nate Silver's numbers give Obama nearly an 80% chance of victory. His "now-cast" shows over a 95% chance of Obama…
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  • So Chris Rock is tweeting about Rmoney's new spray tan. No idea if this is true, but the man is…
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  • There's a poll in AZ (by "Purple Strategies," FWIW) showing Obama down by only 3. So this may well be…
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  • Probably an outlier.  Every 1/20 polls is going to be outside the 95% confidence interval.  This is probably that one.…
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  • Probably an outlier.  Every 1/20 polls is going to be outside the 95% confidence interval.  This is probably that one.…
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  • "Not insurmountable" means that it it's all but insurmountable.  Down by 5 in FL and VA and 7 in OH?…
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  • Public Policy Polling has tweeted that their latest (post-DNC) numbers out of Ohio, which will be released later tonight, are…
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  • Disagree on VA.  Polls are showing Obama doing well there. NC is a true tossup, and I bet IN goes…
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  • Definitely a sign that Romney path to 270 is incredible narrow.  I'm playing with the scenarios and 270towin.com.  If Obama…
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  • Agreed, as a 15-year MA resident.  I just don't see Warren as an appealing candidate to the Scott Brown-supporting moderates.…
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  • BooMan, You basically have it correct.  Self-defense and insanity are affirmative defenses to murder, and the burden on the defendant…
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  • http://www.slate.com/blogs/moneybox/2012/02/13/freedom_of_conscience_and_its_limits.html
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  • I think this is just a continuation of the rampant anti-intellectualism in this country.  Comments about academics being stuck in…
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  • The Supreme Court has been reluctant to reign in the Commerce Clause rationale in too much.  Doing so will cause…
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  • Technologically, you are right.  Practically, this is going to save people like me a lot of money, whereas the previous…
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