I think that Paul Waldman is probably right that the conservatives will learn approximately nothing from their drubbing in November. In fact, the logical reset will be to look to Jeb Bush to save the Republicans in 2016, but he will probably do about as well in the primaries as Jon Huntsman did this year. If Hillary Clinton runs, she will be the next president, and will almost definitely serve for two terms. At that point, the Republicans will be able to look back 36 years and realize that they won the popular vote once (in 2004) in that entire period of time. Will they blame themselves for this? It’s not likely. They will blame the media and their own candidates, but they will never entertain the idea that the American people aren’t anywhere near as crazy as they’d like to believe.

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