Martin Longman is the web editor of the Washington Monthly.
He is also the founder of Booman Tribune and Progress Pond. Before joining the Monthly, Martin was a county coordinator for ACORN/Project Vote and a political consultant. He has a degree in philosophy from Western Michigan University.
Look, we all know undecided voters are…what’s the word I’m looking for…morons. It’s very possible some of them don’t know who Joe Biden is. Seriously. Morons. So as soon as they discover (are force fed information) that Biden is not – in fact – Hitler and Stalin’s lovechild, he could probably add a few percentage points. Providing those voters don’t get confused leaving the driveway.
Yes indeed, backing out of the driveway is fine and relatively easy, but then you have to turn left or tight and get on the road, that’s where the real problem comes in. These idiots can never get that part right.
Trump’s plan (insofar as there is one) seems to be to sow as much chaos as possible, to ensure that there is nothing like an accurate canvassing of the population. What happens in November when there are no poll workers because we are in the second, much stronger, wave of COVID? What do the networks, newspapers, and Fox news say on Wednesday morning, when the in-person tally in PA favors Trump, and it takes a week to count the mail-in votes from Philadelphia?
What could Trump do to improve his odds? So many things out of the right wing playbook to choose from. From most to least likely: 1) Manufacture dirt on Biden, and wait for Fox and the media circus to keep it in play for weeks beyond the sell by date. Those undecided voters that Boo mentioned eat that shit with a spoon, because as Hawseg says, they’re Morans. 2) Get big daddy Putin to tip the scales with some well-timed computer hacks and disinformation. 3) Manufacture a little emergency somewhere (“terrorist” attack; incursion overseas; something involving school kids being threatened… Read more »
I’m seeing evidence that the Russians have stepped up their targeting efforts. I’m seeing moderate information Democrats complaining about Biden, typically over something they recently read which leaves them disheartened. It happened to my wife and I had to engage around what she had read. I’m sure she’d vote for Biden regardless; she hates Trump. But she’s a committed liberal Democrat. It concerns me. I think Biden’s base of support could be eroded.
I wouldn’t wager on “conditions improving under his leadership”. I would wager on “polls bouncing up and down a few times in the next four months”, if only because of 1) random (or not-so-random) events providing a break for Trump (e.g., relatively good employment numbers paired with some good news on the pandemic), and 2) the institutional pressures (including political media) for a “close race”. Relatedly Hollywood producer/writer Dorothy Fortenberry had an astute tweetstorm yesterday, the heart of which was: “anyway, the current system is: 1) President: Dems gotta get 5 pts more because of the EC 2) Congress: Dems… Read more »
Look, we all know undecided voters are…what’s the word I’m looking for…morons. It’s very possible some of them don’t know who Joe Biden is. Seriously. Morons. So as soon as they discover (are force fed information) that Biden is not – in fact – Hitler and Stalin’s lovechild, he could probably add a few percentage points. Providing those voters don’t get confused leaving the driveway.
Yes indeed, backing out of the driveway is fine and relatively easy, but then you have to turn left or tight and get on the road, that’s where the real problem comes in. These idiots can never get that part right.
Trump’s plan (insofar as there is one) seems to be to sow as much chaos as possible, to ensure that there is nothing like an accurate canvassing of the population. What happens in November when there are no poll workers because we are in the second, much stronger, wave of COVID? What do the networks, newspapers, and Fox news say on Wednesday morning, when the in-person tally in PA favors Trump, and it takes a week to count the mail-in votes from Philadelphia?
What could Trump do to improve his odds? So many things out of the right wing playbook to choose from. From most to least likely: 1) Manufacture dirt on Biden, and wait for Fox and the media circus to keep it in play for weeks beyond the sell by date. Those undecided voters that Boo mentioned eat that shit with a spoon, because as Hawseg says, they’re Morans. 2) Get big daddy Putin to tip the scales with some well-timed computer hacks and disinformation. 3) Manufacture a little emergency somewhere (“terrorist” attack; incursion overseas; something involving school kids being threatened… Read more »
I’m seeing evidence that the Russians have stepped up their targeting efforts. I’m seeing moderate information Democrats complaining about Biden, typically over something they recently read which leaves them disheartened. It happened to my wife and I had to engage around what she had read. I’m sure she’d vote for Biden regardless; she hates Trump. But she’s a committed liberal Democrat. It concerns me. I think Biden’s base of support could be eroded.
I wouldn’t wager on “conditions improving under his leadership”. I would wager on “polls bouncing up and down a few times in the next four months”, if only because of 1) random (or not-so-random) events providing a break for Trump (e.g., relatively good employment numbers paired with some good news on the pandemic), and 2) the institutional pressures (including political media) for a “close race”. Relatedly Hollywood producer/writer Dorothy Fortenberry had an astute tweetstorm yesterday, the heart of which was: “anyway, the current system is: 1) President: Dems gotta get 5 pts more because of the EC 2) Congress: Dems… Read more »