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    500K is the number I *guesstimate for May 1. I am not speculating farther out then that. *(allowing for governors…
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  • Trump would have to override the the state governors as they would defy him. Maybe he can, or maybe he…
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  • I will grant that Bernie wants Trump to lose, but that is far from his real top priority which is…
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  • A lot of the delegates will be people who will themselves be facing the voters. So who has the best…
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  • Check what Jon Ralston has to say. Pretty sure he knows more about Nevada than 538. All Nevada polling is…
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  • What I found with the Google: Point Blank Political is a political advertising agency that has worked on campaigns from…
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  • A second day of long lines in NV: https://twitter.com/majesticben/status/1229167979499155456
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  • Nevada: Already early voting in NV, turnout very high, long waits. Scroll down thru the tweets: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports
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  • As for Bernie, Trump wants him as the choice, so does Putin. Expect lots of ratfucking, Russian bots/trolls etc.
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  • Here is an interesting analysis: The bottom line is we are going to a DNC convention with no one with…
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  • I think he is worried about stuff coming out that is damaging to other Republicans, not just Trump and his…
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  • Bolton heads a couple of Republican PACs, with major donors like the Trump supporter Mercers. He will stay a partisan…
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  • “They got three major oil refineries and we know where they are. ... .” The Gulf Arab states also have…
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  • What happens is Trump keeps saying crazy stuff that gets crazier and crazier as his dementia progresses, so more and…
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  • Stories of Trump saying ridiculously stupid stuff or highly inappropriate bragging or displays of anger are getting more common, more…
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  • He testified he was worried Zelensky might deliver the quid (public announcement) only to have Trump stiff Zelensky on the…
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  • Agree with your point about Biden, it could just be relatively rapid normal aging, but he does strike me as…
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  • I guess I am an outlier on this because few people take me seriously, but I think Trump is already…
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  • Social workers going into children's homes is pretty condescending.
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  • Pence is Trump’s inroad to the evangelical community. Given the president’s strong numbers with this demographic, it’s unlikely that they’ll…
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