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    I'll be interested to see what "the center" is in 2020. Particularly if there's relatively high voter turnout among those…
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    • The post answers itself: yes. What that means is Democrats will likely have to become much more ruthless about defending…
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    • Legendary former organizer and current Harvard professor Marshall Ganz has spent a couple of decades now teaching students what he…
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    • Yeah, special elections aren't predictive of much of anything (in part because, like this one, they often happen more than…
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    • Yep, that's what it looks like with five months to go before the first votes are cast. I'll toss this…
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    • You are, of course, entitled to your opinion about who the "attractive presidential candidates left" are (although at some point…
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    • Thanks for your response. Martin has written extensively on the reasons winning back some significant portion of white, small-town/rural voters…
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    • To add another depressing note to the list: over the past decade, centrist Republicans have failed woefully at forming a…
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    • The base is the base. But the fringe is the fringe, and Trump lost it that in the 2018 elections…
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    • Two major factors combined to create the 1932-36 wipeout of the Republican party: 1) 3+ years of the Great Depression…
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    • If by "the left" we primarily mean the white left, then I think Nikole Hannah-Jones terrific essay, "The Idea of…
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    • Exactly. If Trump's electoral college "wall" holds, he'll be reelected by a narrow margin (despite losing the popular vote by…
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    • That's where New York politics got started. E.g., Fraunces Tavern---where the Sons of Liberty met & conspired, where the NY…
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    • Ed Kilgore has a nice appreciation over at nymag.com for Isakson and the (ever-diminishing) pre-"Southern Strategy" Republican party tradition in…
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    • Let's say third parties add up to 8% in 2020 (as opposed to 6% in 2016). Then let's say Trump…
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    • Yes, indeed. Even more so if there's a third party candidate who pulls more than a couple of percentage points…
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    • Charlie Pierce's 2003 profile of Kennedy remains the gold standard for reckoning with his life and career. Unless and until…
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    • What's striking is that Trump got the *lowest* percentage of Republican votes of any Republican presidential candidate in this century.…
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    • Yeah, I suppose you could conclude that Warren---or Harris, or Gillibrand, or Klobuchar---would be able to take advantage of that…
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    • Brings to mind Rule #5 from Alinsky's Rules for Radicals: "Ridicule is man's most potent weapon." Here's hoping that the…
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