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    Btw, this is probably a story for another time but the Dems have to do some soul searching about the…
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  • The only good news for Trump is that he seems to be performing better with low income hispanics and a…
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  • Right, but that also means we just need a 1-2 point polling error in our favor to get 413EV
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  • 413EV
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  • Hi Nalbar, I have only been to eastern Utah very briefly (for 1 day) to visit Arches national park. That's…
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  • It's a real shame that there hasn't been better polling in states like UT and AR. They might be silent…
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  • The good news is that it looks like no one is taking these forecasts seriously this year, since people are…
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  • The public has wised up. At least all those who could have already are. So this is basically going nowhere,…
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  • I'm not sure why it's a bad thing. If there's one thing the last two decades have taught us it's…
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  • This is true. It's more important too because R registration is increasing, and D is reducing, although Independent registration is…
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  • I'm from Australia but have lived here for 5+ years. We have what you call "ranked choice voting" back home…
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  • I must admit I get nervous when Biden talks about bipartisanship. There will be no votes from Rs on anything…
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  • Thank Don, it was those CD polls that got me thinking. With the recent poll in WV showing a huge…
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  • True, it is only likely if the demoralization is total. AR, KS, MO and MS could come into. Biden has…
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  • It would be interesting to see some polling of Arkansas, Tennessee, South Carolina, Alaska given the current numbers. Two more…
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  • I think he is sick but moderately so. He wouldn't be getting the steroids otherwise because they can actually harm…
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  • I think 2 is more important than 1. The thing is that sympathy doesn't have to translate into votes. So…
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  • Probabilistically the most likely scenario is one in which he recovers but somewhat slowly, and has lingering effects that prevent…
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  • Aren't we close to a popular vote election once enough states pass the law that states electors will respect popular…
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  • The thing with Trump is that he will be back to tweeting his support for them in the next 48…
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