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    This is your periodic reminder that 3+ years into the Great Depression, Herbert Hoover got 40% of the vote.
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  • In this regard, the best case scenario for the next 12 weeks is that Trump's popularity takes another big, lasting…
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  • Have a good vacation. I'm glad to hear you're taking one. None of us can save the nation by ourselves;…
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  • Thanks for your comment. Biden has a chance (and he seems to be taking it) to use one of the…
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  • Well said. For me, one of the reassuring things about Biden picking Harris is it means he didn't overthink the…
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  • Thanks for stating the case so starkly. It's the first necessary step for dealing successfully with Trump's regime should he…
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  • Seems like rock-solid political analysis from this vantage point. The problem for centrist Republicans is that now they need 17…
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  • Yep. Especially because if Trump wins, Democrats will think---with abundant cause---it's because 1) Republicans cheated, and 2) the system is…
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  • Thanks for this. Among the many reasons conservatives are unlikely to start a civil war if Biden wins is they…
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  • There's no precedent for a major party presidential candidate testing the 27% barrier (unless you go back to Teddy Roosevelt's…
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  • All of this. In addition, a point our gracious host has made numerous times in the past (but isn't explicit…
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  • Credit where credit is due: the Southern Baptist Convention has arguably taken more and larger anti-racist steps over the past…
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  • Thanks for your response. For what it's worth, as much as Slotkin (and some of her red-to-blue 2018 rookie MOCs)…
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  • Good stuff, Martin. I'd be interested in a post where you game out how this situations ends. Is it: McConnell…
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  • Maybe? But how does that play out? 1) McConnell cobbles together a bill Senate Republicans unite behind. 2) 7-15 Senate…
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  • Thanks for including Rev. Vivian in this post. He started in the movement in 1947, helping to desegregate public facilities…
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  • Excellent point, well made. Another source of power for Biden's climate change plan is---in keeping with his "head of party"…
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  • Yep. And if Trump doesn't do the job in November, then demographic change will do it in 2024. Two further…
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  • There's another possible explanation for the destruction of the Grant statue in San Franciso---sabotage by agents who aim to discredit…
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  • "My suggestion is that they resign and announce their support for Biden, but I guess they’re trying to muddle through."…
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