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    Heck, some of those Republicans aren't at all high on Biden. Some may/will become centrist Democrats---mirror images of 1980s "Reagan…
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    • Another thought: By 2021 roughly half of the House Republican caucus will be Trumpists---members who've been elected since 2016. A…
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    • Solid analysis, as usual. Any coalition that includes everyone from Bill Kristol & John Kasich to Ilhan Omar and Elizabeth…
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    • Yes, it helps that Biden is a politician who's always positioned himself at the center of the Democratic coalition. (Of…
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    • Republicans have the (slight) advantage of going after the Democrats, so they've got a chance to watch what works and…
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    • For me the most encouraging thing about the Harris pick is it means that Biden didn't overthink it. (For overthinking,…
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    • This is your periodic reminder that 3+ years into the Great Depression, Herbert Hoover got 40% of the vote.
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    • In this regard, the best case scenario for the next 12 weeks is that Trump's popularity takes another big, lasting…
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    • Have a good vacation. I'm glad to hear you're taking one. None of us can save the nation by ourselves;…
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    • Thanks for your comment. Biden has a chance (and he seems to be taking it) to use one of the…
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    • Well said. For me, one of the reassuring things about Biden picking Harris is it means he didn't overthink the…
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    • Thanks for stating the case so starkly. It's the first necessary step for dealing successfully with Trump's regime should he…
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    • Seems like rock-solid political analysis from this vantage point. The problem for centrist Republicans is that now they need 17…
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    • Yep. Especially because if Trump wins, Democrats will think---with abundant cause---it's because 1) Republicans cheated, and 2) the system is…
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    • Thanks for this. Among the many reasons conservatives are unlikely to start a civil war if Biden wins is they…
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    • There's no precedent for a major party presidential candidate testing the 27% barrier (unless you go back to Teddy Roosevelt's…
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    • All of this. In addition, a point our gracious host has made numerous times in the past (but isn't explicit…
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    • Credit where credit is due: the Southern Baptist Convention has arguably taken more and larger anti-racist steps over the past…
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    • Thanks for your response. For what it's worth, as much as Slotkin (and some of her red-to-blue 2018 rookie MOCs)…
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    • Good stuff, Martin. I'd be interested in a post where you game out how this situations ends. Is it: McConnell…
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